January 15, 2013

  • How Pursuit of Billionaire Hit One Dead End

    HEDGE FUNDS | LEGAL/REGULATORY JANUARY 14, 2013, 10:01 PM25 Comments

    How Pursuit of Billionaire Hit One Dead End

    BY PETER LATTMAN AND BEN PROTESS

     

    When Jonathan Hollander left his high-flying job at SAC Capital Advisors in late 2008, he departed one of Wall Street’s premier hedge funds.

    Weeks later, when two Federal Bureau of Investigation agents confronted him outside the Equinox gym in Greenwich Village, Mr. Hollander realized that investigators viewed his former employer as something else — a corrupt organization rife with insider trading.

    Steven A. Cohen, the founder and chairman of SAC Capital Advisors, a $14 billion hedge fund.Steve Marcus/ReutersSteven A. Cohen, the founder and chairman of SAC Capital Advisors, a $14 billion hedge fund.

    The agents took Mr. Hollander into a nearby cafe and questioned him about his trading in the stock of a supermarket chain. They showed him a sheet of paper with headshots of several of his former colleagues. At the center was a photograph of Steven A. Cohen, the billionaire owner of SAC, according to two lawyers briefed on the meeting who requested anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss it publicly. The agents compared Mr. Cohen to a Mafia boss who sat atop a criminal enterprise, the lawyers said.

     

    In the end, no criminal case was filed against Mr. Hollander. And neither Mr. Cohen nor SAC has been accused of any wrongdoing. Mr. Cohen has told employees and clients that he and SAC have at all times acted appropriately.

    An examination of Mr. Hollander’s case, based on a review of court documents and interviews with people involved in the investigation, provides a lens into the government’s aggressive crackdown on insider trading and fierce pursuit of Mr. Cohen over the last decade. Investigators saw Mr. Hollander as a suspect, and he also piqued their interest as someone who could open a window into SAC and Mr. Cohen.

    Yet the investigation of Mr. Hollander, 37, also highlights the challenges of using lower-level employees to build a case against their boss.

    Hedge Fund Inquiry

     

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    A Look at Insider Trading

    Some of the cases involving former employees of SAC Capital Advisors, the fund run by Steven A.Cohen.

     

     

    The authorities have moved on from Mr. Hollander, who is working as an entrepreneur. Today, they are focused on another former junior SAC employee, Mathew Martoma, who is fighting a recent indictment and refuses to cooperate with the government. Mr. Martoma’s case has increased the pressure on SAC and Mr. Cohen, who was involved in the trades at the center of the charges against Mr. Martoma.

    While Mr. Hollander provided prosecutors with no such direct link to Mr. Cohen, some authorities thought he possessed a rich vein of information about his former employer. Others dismissed him as a junior analyst who offered uncorroborated tips at best, lawyers close to the case recalled.

    With authorities at odds over his importance and the strength of the evidence against him, Mr. Hollander’s criminal case fizzled.

    The Securities and Exchange Commission settled a lawsuit with Mr. Hollander related to improper trading in his personal account for less than $200,000, a manageable penalty for someone who earned a few million dollars on SAC’s trading floor. And in an embarrassment for prosecutors, they charged the investment banker who they thought provided confidential information to Mr. Hollander, and then dropped the case against the investment banker entirely.

    “A low-level guy sometimes doesn’t get the government where it needs to be because there is only so much information they can give,” said Allen D. Applbaum, co-leader of global risk and investigations at FTI Consulting and a former federal prosecutor. “Frequently, you can hit a dead end or a roadblock and then have to move on.”

    Through his lawyer, Aitan D. Goelman, Mr. Hollander declined to comment for this article.

    A native of Annapolis, Md., Mr. Hollander pursued a career on Wall Street after graduating from Tufts University and Stanford Business School. Early in his career, in the late 1990s, Mr. Hollander worked at Credit Suisse, where he became fast friends with two other ambitious young analysts — Ramesh Chakrapani and Nicos Stephanou.

    The three went their separate ways but stayed in touch. Mr. Hollander eventually landed at SAC, where he spent nearly four years in its CR Intrinsic unit, a division of the fund. In November 2008, SAC, which is based in Stamford, Conn., let Mr. Hollander go during broad cuts because of the financial crisis.

    Around that time, investigators learned that Mr. Stephanou, who had moved to UBS, was sharing confidential information with friends about merger deals, according to court records. That December, the F.B.I. arrested Mr. Stephanou, who began cooperating.

    He told investigators about a dinner that he claimed to attend with Mr. Hollander and Mr. Chakrapani where the three freely discussed a planned buyout of the grocery business Albertsons. Mr. Stephanou and Mr. Chakrapani, who was then working as a banker at the Blackstone Group, both advised on the transaction.

    F.B.I. agents approached Mr. Hollander and Mr. Chakrapani in January 2009. It was a coordinated operation. As the agents waited for Mr. Hollander to finish his workout, law enforcement officials met Mr. Chakrapani at John F. Kennedy International Airport as he walked off a plane from London.

    They arrested Mr. Chakrapani and prosecutors filed a complaint charging him with tipping an unnamed hedge fund trader about the Albertsons deal. The S.E.C. filed a parallel lawsuit. Mr. Hollander was the unnamed hedge fund trader, according to lawyers close to the case. Prosecutors said that the trader — Mr. Hollander — made $3.5 million in profits for his employer by illegally trading in Albertsons stock.

    Mr. Hollander, seen as a potential cooperator who could help them penetrate SAC, was not charged. After his initial meeting with agents at the Greenwich Village cafe, where Mr. Hollander appeared calm and poised, he spent two days in April being interviewed by government officials at the United States attorney’s office in Manhattan.

    Prodded for information about the hedge fund giant, Mr. Hollander offered up several examples of questionable activity at SAC that he had either witnessed or had heard about, lawyers briefed on the matter said. He told the authorities about a lucrative, uncannily timed trade in the drug maker Elan, which is now at the center of Mr. Martoma’s prosecution. While investigators were already examining the transaction, Mr. Hollander reinforced their suspicions. Mr. Hollander also shared information on a more than $150 million trade at SAC involving shares of the biotechnology firm MedImmune, the lawyers said. Authorities suspected that an SAC employee placed the trade using inside information about a British company’s 2007 acquisition of MedImmune.

    Some of the insights Mr. Hollander offered aided the government’s inquiry into SAC. The broader investigation has led to three onetime SAC traders pleading guilty to trading stocks based on secret corporate information while at the fund; at least seven former employees have been tied to insider trading.

    Representatives for the F.B.I., the United States attorney’s office in Manhattan and the S.E.C. declined to comment.

    After a flurry of activity, the cases against Mr. Chakrapani and Mr. Hollander sputtered.

    In a rare reversal, just three months after bringing criminal charges against Mr. Chakrapani, prosecutors dropped them without explanation. As investigators struggled to corroborate Mr. Stephanou’s story, the S.E.C. also withdrew its lawsuit. The government said in court papers that dismissing the case against Mr. Chakrapani had nothing to do with its “assessment of Stephanou’s veracity.” Mr. Stephanou, who was detained for 19 months in jail, while cooperating, has since returned to his native Cyprus.

    After Mr. Chakrapani’s arrest, Blackstone suspended him. Without a job, he moved in with his parents in California. Mr. Chakrapani recently rejoined Blackstone, according to a spokesman for the firm.

    “The dismissal of the unwarranted charges brought against Mr. Chakrapani cannot undo the damage to his professional reputation,” said Michael Sommer, the lawyer who represented Mr. Chakrapani. “And it remains one of the glaring flaws in our system that the law provides little if any legal recourse for those subjected to these types of damages.”

    Mr. Hollander also remained in limbo as authorities weighed his importance and the quality of the evidence against him. Some wanted to use him as a witness in a broader SAC case, according to officials briefed on the investigation, but prosecutors questioned the accuracy and utility of his tips.

    Ultimately, he was never criminally charged and did not enter into a formal cooperation agreement with the government. The S.E.C. did not bring its lawsuit until 2011. And when it did, unlike the triumphal news releases that normally accompany its insider trading victories, the agency put on its Web site a brief statement about the settlement. The complaint did not mention SAC.

    The S.E.C.’s case involved claims that Mr. Hollander, along with a family member and business school classmate, illegally traded Albertsons stock in their personal accounts, earning combined profits of about $96,000. Mr. Hollander agreed to pay the government $192,000, and accepted a three-year ban from the securities industry.

    At the time of the settlement, Mr. Goelman, the lawyer for Mr. Hollander, said his client resolved the matter rather than engage in costly litigation.

    His brush with the government seemingly over, Mr. Hollander has tried to move on. Unable to trade stocks, he started his own consulting firm, the Chesapeake Advisory Group, and also co-founded EvoSpend, a financial services technology company.

    And last year, in an attempt to improve his Internet profile and de-emphasize articles about his insider trading case in Google search results, Mr. Hollander set up a series of Web pages highlighting his philanthropic pursuits and other accomplishments.

     

    Copyright. 2013. The New York Times Company. All Rights Reserved

    A version of this article appeared in print on 01/15/2013, on page A1 of the NewYork edition with the headline: How Pursuit of Billionaire Hit One Dead End.

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January 4, 2013

  • Poppin' Tags: Vintage, Thrift, and the Value of Slow Fashion

    12/19/2012 4:30:33 PM
    by Katie Haegele

    The Vintage Shop Window by slightly everything, Creative Commons 
    Photo by slightly everything, licensed under Creative Commons. 

     

    This afternoon, to reward myself for a morning of hard writing work and because I couldn’t stand using my brain for one minute more, I went looking online for a new winter coat. Online shopping is fun where real-life shopping is stressful: I don’t have to get all sweaty and frustrated in a fitting room, and I don’t feel driven to buy something to justify the time I’ve spent negotiating crowded stores. I can just look.

    But on this occasion, actually, I wanted to buy. I had seen an ad on some fashion blog for these gorgeous cloaks made by designer Lindsey Thornburg. That’s what I want!, I thought. Not a dorky old coat like I’ve worn every year, all fastened into it like a Stay-Puft straight-jacket. I want to swoosh around in soft fabrics that sort of wrap around and hang off me, all cool and chic. Visions of Denise Huxtable danced in my head. But talk about getting sweaty: The cloaks cost between $600 and $1200, and as beautiful as they are I couldn’t justify spending that much money on one piece of clothing.

    Maybe other people make nice cloaks / capes / cape-coats, I thought. I toggled the terms and did some Google searching and to my surprise etsy shops kept popping up. I like etsy, which is an online craft marketplace where makers of all kinds of things can sell them. I’ve had my own etsy shop for quite a few years now; I use it to sell my zines and other paper crafts. But to my total dismay I soon understood that many of the stores that were offering the—trendy, cute, and inexpensive—coats I liked were being sold by overseas clothing manufacturers posing as craftspeople. The vast majority of these were located in China. The same thing has happened on ebay, if you’ve noticed, though this doesn’t have quite the same meaning since that site has no requirement that the things sold there be “handmade.”

    Today, and for the last twenty years or so now, most of the clothes we Americans buy have not been made in the U.S., but in poorer countries where the legal hourly wage is much lower. I know that you know this. But did you know that Americans now buy an average of 64 pieces of new clothing a year? That one reason we’re able to get clothing as cheaply as we now can is that huge “fast fashion” retailers like H&M and Target can order clothes in previously unheard-of quantities, a production rate that is devastating for the environment? Or that more than 40 percent of the clothing now produced worldwide is made of plastic in the form of polyester and other synthetic fabrics?

    Boombox Bling, photo by Aih, Creative Commons

    I didn’t, not really, until I read Overdressed: The Shockingly High Cost of Cheap Fashion, by Elizabeth Cline. Cline, a journalist and first-time author, talks about sweatshop labor in the tradition of books like The Travels of a T-Shirt in the Global Economy. But she goes beyond this and looks at something else: Our hunger for excessively cheap clothes and trends that cycle in and out every week or two, and the massive machine that keeps it all moving.

    This is a serious problem. Unfortunately—very unfortunately—it’s a problem that’s hard to feel. Cheap clothes are everywhere, looking bright and cheerful, and few of us Americans have actually seen, firsthand, the environmental desolation caused by all the unsustainable factory production in other parts of the world. (Cline writes that after visiting China's Guangdong Province, where polyester plants and electronics factories are clustered, her throat ached, her eyes burned, and she got a sinus infection that lingered for months.) It’s not the 90s anymore, and people who talk about conspicuous consumption and petroleum products don’t get invited back to parties. Furthermore, our economy sucks right now—ironically, in large part because we’ve outsourced almost all of our factory work to other countries—and a lot of us are out of work or working jobs where we can’t get enough hours, enough pay, or any health insurance. If things aren’t really cheap we might not be able to buy them at all. We’ve come to expect cute clothing—and electronics, and other entertainment and luxury goods—to be about as inexpensive as we want it to be, and where there’s a demand, there will always, always be a supply, even when the toll is human lives.

    I found Cline’s book fascinating and distressing. It would have moved me to make some serious life changes if I’d read it ten years ago, when I was a frequent lunchtime H&M shopper. But I don’t go into malls or other stores that sell new clothing very often anymore. This isn’t because I’m not vain about how I look (!!! trust me), or because I’m so morally superior that I always make the unselfish choice. It’s because at this point I buy almost all the things I need and want secondhand, and I do so because it’s frugal, interesting, and fun. I know this isn’t terribly unusual of me, and also that it is not revolutionary. Except that it is, in a small way—a way I can feel.

    I have a million thrift shop victory stories. Let me tell you one. A few weeks ago I discovered a junk store in an outer suburb of Philadelphia, a sweet and down-to-earth town with a thriving main street filled with small local businesses and a commuter train that goes right through its center. And this store, it’s incredible. It’s dank in there—they said something about the front half of the store being heated with electricity and the back with oil, and they were still waiting for the month’s oil delivery, yeesh—and its darkness and clutter would probably repel a more casual shopper. This is how I knew it would be good. This place has more records than some small record stores I’ve been to and, pinned to big bolts of fabric hanging on the walls over the crates of records, some woman’s enormous collection of band buttons from the ‘70s-’90s. (The place sells on consignment, and the owner told me about the person who brought those in.) I found a Fad Gadget button and a Human League one, and ones with Bobby Brown with a hi-top fade! I also found a stack of papers in the magazine section that were some kind of survey about nuclear energy taken by college students in the 1940s. Point is, all the clothing, including shoes, cost $1.50 apiece. I bought a beautiful light blue sweater that’s embellished with beads and ribbon and has gathered sleeves and shoulder pads, a pair of black ankle boots, and a terrible teal pants suit (which I wanted for the pants only) that I don’t think I’ll be able to keep because, oh gosh, it really looks bad. I plan to wear the sweater on New Year’s Eve, though I may have to have it laundered first. It was such a fun way to spend a blank Saturday afternoon.

    Cline writes that one of the ways we have tended to give ourselves permission to buy trendy clothing that we don’t need is the idea that there is always a “poor African” who will be grateful for our donation when we’re through with it. She says this is pretty much a fantasy at this point, and this dangerous thinking—besides being arrogant and insidiously racist—is instead helping to fill landfills with fabrics that won’t break down for like a hundred years, and leak poisons into our soil and water supply as they do. But if you buy the stuff used in the first place, it’s got to be an improvement, right? When I’m tired of a piece of clothing or it no longer fits me, I give it away to a thrift store again, sometimes the same one I bought it from.

    Having bought mostly secondhand things for several years now has changed my attitude toward objects and ownership in an interesting way. I do have things I’d hate to lose, but for the most part it feels like I have an apartment full of knick-knacks and books and shoes on loan, like I’m lucky to get to look at and wear all these neat things and it’s extra special and sort of poignant too because I know they’re not really mine. This is a more light-hearted and also more emotionally engaged attitude than the shackled sense of fretful responsibility I have felt toward things I paid a lot of money for. Like, go ahead and steal it, it was practically free. Knowing that something once belonged to someone else—coupled with the fact that I paid only a dollar or maybe ten for it—makes my ownership of that thing feel less real, temporary, like the universe is my big sister and I’m borrowing stuff from her closet. I’ll give it back soon, I promise.

    It happens that Cline’s book came out the same month as my first book, White Elephants, a small memoir which is, in a nutshell, about going to yard sales with my mom. It ends up also being about my relationship with her and my deceased father, and whatnot, but it really is honestly also a book about stuff. About the piggy banks, teacups, clip-on earrings, picture frames, typewriters, paperbacks and, yes, heaps of clothing I’ve bought for next to nothing in church basements and on people’s front lawns, and about the pleasure I get from imagining these objects’ history or even meeting the people who own them and want to tell me about them. 

    In her book, Cline addresses the problem of true “vintage” clothing (anything older than 20 years) being picked over by resellers and given a high price tag at hip boutiques, and she talks in a doomy way about how everything at the Salvation Army these days is just some tired-looking thing from Target or Old Navy. (Indeed, because to the rapid production of “fast fashion” clothes, even thrift stores can’t keep up with all the donations they receive. They end up having to throw many of these new clothes away.) But this was the one part of the book I couldn’t fully relate to. I go to a thrift store or yard sale once a week on average, and I’m always able to find legit old clothing that is weird and wonderful and much better made than most things you find new these days. That said, I’ll wear the crappy sparkly fast-fashion top, too, if I can get it secondhand. Is this immoral or hypocritical of me in some way? Or is buying the thing new what keeps the big bad machine in gear? I’m not sure I know the answer to that. These are confusing problems, and I love glitter.

    Cline writes that the lesson she’d like people to take away from her book is not that they can never again buy something new, or that they should go off the grid and start making all their own clothes (though she found, by taking sewing lessons, that knowing how to make and alter things is deeply satisfying and far from impossible). She wasn’t interested in making us feel ashamed or guilty. She placed the blame where it belongs: On the big, greedy companies who have created a marketplace where, depending on where you live, it can be basically impossible to buy new clothing that wasn’t produced by people working in dangerous conditions or in a way, and at a rate, that is ruinous to our environment. What she wants, she says, is for people to be mindful when they buy new things. To not let clothing be an impulse purchase, just because it’s cheap. For us to treat our belongings with respect because they were made by a human being, and only a spoiled brat throws her nice things all over the floor.

    That’s one of the things I like most about secondhand shopping—that thoughtfulness. I like having to dig for my treasure, to not know what I’ll find, and to fill my home with things that vibrate with other people’s energy. It’s neat to think that mine will be the life someone else imagines when I pass my stuff along to them.

    Macklemore & Ryan Lewis' hit music video, "Thrift Shop feat. Wanz" 

     

    Read more: http://www.utne.com/mind-body/poppin-tags-vintage-thrift-and-slow-fashion.aspx#ixzz2H0JFzzQd

     

    Copyright. 2013 Utne Reader.com All Rights Reserved

  • Chavela Vargas Costa Rican Singer who Lived in Mexico

    Chavela Vargas

    B. 1919  |  By SANDRA CISNEROS

    Illustration by Ali Cavanaugh

     

    ONCE, WHEN MEXICO WAS THE BELLYBUTTON of the universe, Isabel Vargas Lizano ran away from home and resolved to make herself into a Mexican singer. This was in the 1930s, when Europe was on fire, the U.S. out of work and Mexico busy giving birth to herself after a revolution.

    At 14, Isabel was busy birthing herself, too. Cast off from her Costa Rican kin for being too strange, she would become Mexico’s beloved Chavela Vargas.

    It was the country’s golden era. Visitors came from across the globe. Sergei Eisenstein, Luis Buñuel, Leonora Carrington. Mexico was a knockout, and everyone was crazy about her.

    At first, Vargas made her living doing odd jobs: cooking, selling children’s clothes, chauffeuring an elderly lady. She was adopted by artists and musicians and sang at their parties and favorite bars. When she was not yet 25, she was invited to the Blue House of Frida Kahlo and Diego Rivera in Coyoacán. “Who’s that girl, the one in the white shirt?” Kahlo asked. Kahlo summoned her over, and Vargas sat at her side the rest of the night. Because Vargas lived all the way up in the Condesa neighborhood, Rivera and Kahlo offered her lodging for the night. Rivera suggested she take to bed some of their Mexican hairless dogs. “Sleep with them,” he told her. “They warm the bed and keep away rheumatism.” Vargas had found her spiritual family.

    Eventually Vargas apprenticed with Mexico’s finest musicians: the composer Agustín Lara and Antonio Bribiesca and his weeping guitar. She fine-tuned her singing style listening to Toña la Negra and the Texas songbird Lydia Mendoza, among others. The songwriter José Alfredo Jiménez became her maestro with his songs that “expressed . . . the common pain of all who love,” Vargas said. “And when I came out onstage they were mine, because I added my own pain, too.”

    With just a guitar and her voice, Vargas performed in a red poncho and pants at a time when Mexican women didn’t wear pants. She sang with arms open wide like a priest celebrating Mass, modeling her singing on the women of the Mexican revolution. “Amexicana is a very strong woman,” Vargas said, “Starting with la Adelita, la Valentina —mujeres muy mujeres.” Chavela Vargas belonged to this category of women-very-much women.

    Even when Vargas was young and her voice still as transparent as mezcal, she danced with her lyrics tacuachito-style, cheek to cheek, pounded them on the bar, made them jump like dice, spat and hissed and purred like the woman jaguar she claimed to be and finished with a volley that entered the heart like a round of bullets from the pistol she stashed in her belt.

    “She was chile verde,” remembers Elena Poniatowska, the grande dame of Mexican letters.

    Vargas lived and sang a lo macho. She sang love songs written for men to sing without changing the pronouns.

    Her big hit was “Macorina,” Poniatowska said. “ ‘Put your hand here, Macorina,’ she sang with her hand like a great big seashell over her sex, long before Madonna.”

    In her autobiography, Vargas writes: “I always began with ‘Macorina.’ . . . And lots of times I finished with that song. So that folks would go home to their beds calientitos, nice and warm.”

    Because she immortalized popular rancheras, Vargas is often labeled a country singer. But she kidnapped romantic boleros and made them hers too. Her songs appealed to drinkers of pulque as well as of Champagne.

    The critic Tomás Ybarra-Frausto remembers the Vargas of the early ’60s. “I used to see her at La Cueva de Amparo Montes, a club frequented by the underground in downtown Mexico City. She dressed in black leather, and would roar over on a motorcycle with a blonde gringa on her back.”

    Someone else told this story. In a Mexico City club, Vargas serenaded a couple. Then she slipped off the man’s tie, lassoed it around his woman’s neck, gave it a passionate yank and kissed her.

    She had a reputation as a robaesposas. Did she really have affairs with everyone’s wives? A European queen? Ava Gardner? Frida? What was true, and what was mitote? You only have to look at Vargas’s photos when she was young to know some of the talk was true. In the town of Monclova, Coahuila, go ask the elders. They’ll tell you: Vargas came to town and sang. And then ran off with the doctor’s daughter. People still remember.

    Judy Garland, Grace Kelly, Bette Davis, Elizabeth Taylor. . . . She was invited to their parties, danced with the wives of powerful politicos, claimed to have shared un amor with “the most famous woman in the world” but would not say more.

    And then, somewhere in her 60s, Vargas disappeared. Some thought she had died, and in a way, she had.

    “Sometimes I don’t have any other alternative but to joke about my alcoholism as if it was just a one-night parranda,” she said. “It was no joke. . . . Those who lived it with me know it.”

    Before Pedro Almodóvar and Salma Hayek featured her in their films, there were friends who helped Vargas walk through fire and be reborn. The performers Jesusa Rodríguez and Liliana Felipe invited Vargas to make her 1991 comeback in their Mexico City theater, El Hábito.

    “There were only a few minutes left before her entrance, and the place was packed,” Rodríguez remembers. “All the hipsters of that era were waiting. No one could believe Chavela was returning to sing.

    “She was very nervous. Well, she’d never appeared onstage without drinking. When we gave her the second call, she panicked and asked for a tequila. Liliana and I looked at one another, and then Liliana said, ‘Chavela, if you drink, it’s better if we just cancel the show.’ ‘But how?’ said Chavela. ‘There’s a full house.’ ‘Well, it doesn’t matter,’ we said. ‘We’ll just give everyone their money back, and that’ll be that.’

    “Chavela looked serious for a few moments, then she took a deep breath and said, ‘Let’s go!’ We gave the third call, she climbed up on the stage, stood there like an ancient tree and sang for . . . years, without stopping, without drinking.”

    Her voice had become another voice. Ravaged but beautiful in a dark way, like glass charred into obsidian.

    Vargas’s specialty was el amor y el desamor, love and love lost, songs of loneliness and goodbyes in a voice as ethereal as the white smoke from copal, but as powerful as the Pacific. Songs that sucked you in, threatened to drown you; then, when you least expected it, pulled down your pants and slapped you on the behind. Audiences broke out into spontaneous gritos, that Mexican yodel barked from the belly and a lifetime of grief.

    Mexican parties always end with everyone crying, the journalist Alma Guillermoprieto once noted. Vargas satisfied a national urge to weep. She embodied Mexico, that open wound unhealed since the conquest and, a century after a useless revolution, in need of tears now more than ever.

    This summer, at 93, Vargas returned to Mexico from Spain. She was sick. On Aug. 5, death came at last and ran off with her.

    Sandra Cisneros is a novelist, poet and essayist. She is the author, most recently, of “Have You Seen Marie?”

     

    Copyright. 2013. The New York Times Company. All Rights Reserved

  • Disruptions: The Real Hazards of E-Devices on Planes

    A pilot uses the FlySmart with Airbus app on an Apple iPad. The F.A.A. has no proof that electronic devices can harm a plane’s avionics, but it still perpetuates such claims.

     

    Airbus, via European Pressphoto AgencyA pilot uses the FlySmart with Airbus app on an Apple iPad. The F.A.A. has no proof that electronic devices can harm a plane’s avionics, but it still perpetuates such claims.

     

    DECEMBER 30, 2012, 11:00 AM

    Disruptions: The Real Hazards of E-Devices on Planes

    By NICK BILTON

    Over the last year, flying with phones and other devices has become increasingly dangerous.

    In September, a passenger was arrested in El Paso after refusing to turn off his cellphone as the plane was landing. In October, a man in Chicago was arrested because he used his iPad during takeoff. In November, half a dozen police cars raced across the tarmac at La Guardia Airport in New York, surrounding a plane as if there were a terrorist on board. They arrested a 30-year-old man who had also refused to turn off his phone while on the runway.

    Who is to blame in these episodes? You can't solely pin it on the passengers. Some of the responsibility falls on the Federal Aviation Administration, for continuing to uphold a rule that is based on the unproven idea that a phone or tablet can interfere with the operation of a plane.

    These conflicts have been going on for several years. In 2010, a 68-year-old man punched a teenager because he didn't turn off his phone. Lt. Kent Lipple of the Boise Police Department in Idaho, who arrested the puncher, said the man "felt he was protecting the entire plane and its occupants." And let's not forget Alec Baldwin, who was kicked off an American Airlines plane in 2011 for playing Words With Friends online while parked at the gate.

    Dealing with the F.A.A. on this topic is like arguing with a stubborn teenager. The agency has no proof that electronic devices can harm a plane's avionics, but it still perpetuates such claims, spreading irrational fear among millions of fliers.

    A year ago, when I first asked Les Dorr, a spokesman for the F.A.A., why the rule existed, he said the agency was being cautious because there was no proof that device use was completely safe. He also said it was because passengers needed to pay attention during takeoff.

    When I asked why I can read a printed book but not a digital one, the agency changed its reasoning. I was told by another F.A.A. representative that it was because an iPad or Kindle could put out enough electromagnetic emissions to disrupt the flight. Yet a few weeks later, the F.A.A. proudly announced that pilots could now use iPads in the cockpit instead of paper flight manuals.

    The F.A.A. then told me that "two iPads are very different than 200." But experts at EMT Labs, an independent testing facility in Mountain View, Calif., say there is no difference in radio output between two iPads and 200. "Electromagnetic energy doesn't add up like that," said Kevin Bothmann, the EMT Labs testing manager.

    It's not a matter of a flying device hitting another passenger, either. Kindles weigh less than six ounces; Walter Isaacson's biography of Steve Jobs weighs 2.1 pounds in hardcover. I'd rather be hit in the head by an iPad Mini than a 650-page book.

    In October, after months of pressure from the public and the news media, the F.A.A. finally said it would begin a review of its policies on electronic devices in all phases of flight, including takeoff and landing. But the agency does not have a set time frame for announcing its findings.

    An F.A.A. spokeswoman told me last week that the agency was preparing to move to the next phase of its work in this area, and would appoint members to a rule-making committee that will begin meeting in January.

    The F.A.A. should check out an annual report issued by NASA that compiles cases involving electronic devices on planes. None of those episodes have produced scientific evidence that a device can harm a plane's operation. Reports of such interference have been purely speculation by pilots about the cause of a problem.

    Other government agencies and elected officials are finally getting involved.

    This December, Julius Genachowski, chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, sent a letter to the F.A.A. telling the agency that it had a responsibility to "enable greater use of tablets, e-readers and other portable devices" during flights, as they empower people and allow "both large and small businesses to be more productive and efficient, helping drive economic growth and boost U.S. competitiveness."

    A week later, Senator Claire McCaskill, Democrat of Missouri, also sent a letter to the F.A.A. noting that the public was "growing increasingly skeptical of prohibitions" on devices on airplanes. She warned that she was "prepared to pursue legislative solutions should progress be made too slowly."

    If progress is slow, there will eventually be an episode on a plane in which someone is seriously harmed as a result of a device being on during takeoff. But it won't be because the device is interfering with the plane's systems. Instead, it will be because one passenger harms another, believing they are protecting the plane from a Kindle, which produces fewer electromagnetic emissions than a calculator.

    E-mail: bilton@nytimes.com

     

    Copyright. 2013 THe New York Times Company. All Rights Reserved

     

January 3, 2013

  • In Victory for Google, U.S. Ends Antitrust Investigation

     

    J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press

    Jon Leibowitz, the F.T.C. chairman, said Google's search engine actions were “not undertaken without legitimate justification.”

     

    January 3, 2013
     

    In Victory for Google, U.S. Ends Antitrust Investigation

     

    By 

     

    WASHINGTON — The Federal Trade Commission on Thursday found that Google had not violated antitrust or anticompetition statutes in the way it structures its Web search application — handing a big victory to the search giant in its ongoing dispute with regulators.

    But the commission found that Google had misused its broad patents on cellphone technology, and ordered Google to make that technology available to rivals.

    Google’s competitors, including Microsoft, have pressed vigorously for federal officials to bring an antitrust case involving its search business. Last year, an F.T.C. staff report recommended that the commission bring such a case.

    The F.T.C. found that although Google sometimes favors its own products when producing search results with its ubiquitous search engine, its actions were “not undertaken without legitimate justification,” said Jon Leibowitz, the F.T.C. chairman.

    Google agreed, however, to take certain actions to address what Mr. Leibowitz called “the most problematic business practices relating to its search and  search advertising business.”

    The trade commission’s inquiry has been going on for at least a year and a half. Google disclosed in June 2011 that it had received formal notification from the commission that it was looking into Google’s business practices.

    Google has long defended its search business, saying that it offers results that are most relevant to consumers and that the “competition is just a click away.” It contends that users who believe a Google search is not meeting their needs can easily move to another search engine, like Microsoft’s Bing.

    Google has also said that the barriers to entry into the search business are so low that it cannot abuse its market power, even though it has more than a 70 percent share of the search business in the United States.

    Companies that rely on Google to drive traffic to their sites have complained that Google adjusts its search algorithm to favor its own growing number of commerce sites — including shopping, local listings and travel.

    But the trade commission faced an uphill battle in proving malicious intent — that Google changes its search algorithm to purposely harm competitors and favor itself. Antitrust lawyers say anticompetitive behavior cannot be proved simply by showing that a change in the algorithm affects other Web sites and causes sites to show up lower in results, even though studies have shown that users rarely look beyond the first page of search results.

    The commission was pressing to wrap up its case before Monday, when a new commissioner will be sworn in, a development that could have affected the result of the Google investigation. Joshua D. Wright, a professor at George Mason University, was confirmed by the Senate this week to take one of the two Republican spots on the five-member commission. Mr. Wright had previously said he would recuse himself from any Google matters for two years, because he has done work for or about the company including co-authoring a paper arguing that Google has not violated any antitrust statutes.

    Mr. Wright will replace J. Thomas Rosch, a commissioner since 2006. If the Google case were not settled by Monday, the commission faced the prospect that a vote on whether to charge Google would deadlock at 2-2.

    The commission voted 4-1 to settle the patent charges, and voted 5-0 to close its antitrust and competition investigation.

    “The F.T.C.’s credibility is eroded when confidential details of internal discussions are revealed to the media, as has continually been the case in the investigation of Google,” Senator Ron Wyden, Democrat of Oregon, said in a Nov. 26 letter to Mr. Leibowitz, the commission chairman. Mr. Wyden also said there was plenty of evidence that adequate competition exists in the search business. He cited the recent introduction of competitors like DuckDuckGo, which has a no-tracking privacy policy inspired by some consumers’ complaints about the tracking of consumer behavior that Google and other search engines perform.

    “Compared to almost any other market in the history of antitrust regulation, online search has effectively zero barriers to entry,” Mr. Wyden said.

     
     

    Copyright 2013. The New York Times Company. All Rights Reserved

December 30, 2012

  • Aircraft: What is the coolest modern military aircraft?

     

     

    The US Air Force Fairchild-Republic A-10 Thunderbolt II is more commonly known by its nickname "Warthog" or "Hog" or "Tankbuster."  

    If you are in an enemy tank... get out.  There is no possibility of survival because the A-10 is firing at you —for all practical purposes —from point blank range.   If you're a friendly soldier on the ground...  its roar is a beautiful sound because it will lay down so much fire that you will have nothing left to do.  Neither the A-10 or its pilots will let you down.

    The A-10 first flew in 1972 and is so awesome its not expected to be replaced until 2028 or later.

    It was designed around the GAU-8 Avenger-the  heaviest rotary cannon ever mounted on an aircraft.

    A-10 Warthog Powderize Taliban Fighters With 30mm In Afghanistan

    Its hull incorporates over 1,200 pounds (540 kg) of armor and was designed with survivability as a priority. It can take hits from explosive armor piercing rounds.  This plane will continue flying with large parts of it blown off and bring you home.  

    Armament

    • Guns: 1× 30 mm (1.18 in) GAU-8/A Avenger gatling cannon with 1,174 rounds
    • Hardpoints: 11 (8× under-wing and 3× under-fuselage pylon stations) with a capacity  of 16,000 lb (7,260 kg) and provisions to carry combinations of:
      • Rockets:
        • 4× LAU-61/LAU-68 rocket pods (each with 19× / 7× Hydra 70 mm rockets, respectively)
        • 4× LAU-5003 rocket pods (each with 19× CRV7 70 mm rockets)
        • 6× LAU-10 rocket pods (each with 4× 127 mm (5.0 in) Zuni rockets)
      • Missiles:
        • 2× AIM-9 Sidewinders air-to-air missiles for self-defense
        • 6× AGM-65 Maverick air-to-surface missiles
      • Bombs:
        • Mark 80 series of unguided iron bombs or
        • Mk 77 incendiary bombs or
        • BLU-1, BLU-27/B Rockeye II, Mk20, BL-755[98] and CBU-52/58/71/87/89/97 cluster bombs or
        • Paveway series of Laser-guided bombs or
        • Joint Direct Attack Munition (A-10C)[99] or
        • Wind Corrected Munitions Dispenser (A-10C)
      • Other:
        • SUU-42A/A Flares/Infrared decoys and chaff dispenser pod or
        • AN/ALQ-131 or AN/ALQ-184 ECM pods or
        • Lockheed Martin Sniper XR or LITENING targeting pods (A-10C) or
        • 2× 600 US gallon Sargent Fletcher drop tanks for increased range/loitering time.

    It is one best aircraft ever built and flown into war.

    "I just wanted to state that  the Hog is an awesome weapon. I was with 3rd Bn 2nd Marines of Task Force Tarawa in An Nasiriyah Iraq and saw firsthand the devastation the warthog created. We had been taking fire from a building bout 3/4 of a  mile from my pos. We shot it up with the 25mm Bushmaster cannons mounted  on top of the LAV-25s, TOW anti-tank missiles from our HMMWVs,  countless rounds of .50 cal and 40mm grenades and were still recieving  fire. We finally called in AH-1W Cobras to make passes, after about the  third or forth pass an A-10 came on station, both Cobras broke off from a  gun run and the Hog rolled in. Talk about devestation, that GAU-8  Aveneger sounded like hell on earth, sure came in handy that time."

    --

    "I have recently had the  awesome experience of see this machine at work first hand.  I am a  machinegunner with A co 1/5 USMC.  On April 10 during the "Battle for  the Palace" we encountered heavy resistance.  For the next 9 hours we  were in what I later found out was the worst fire fight the Marine Corps  has been in since Vietnam.  We  were indulged with the chance to see this aircraft doing what it does  best.  We heard it then looked up to see what could be falling on us.   Fortunately it was the A-10 circling overhead then going into a dive  after powering his engines down.  Now being a machinegunner, I know what  fast it.  This was spectactular.  Sheer and utter death raining down  from above.  In his dive all you could hear was a loug SCHZZZZZZZ then a  building down the road 300m exploding in a cloud of dust and adobe  chunks.  As a grunt I believe that "Saving Private Ryan" sums it up  best: Guardian Angels in the sky."

    --
    Seventeen soldiers in three vehicles had been driving along when they came under attack. 

    "We were surrounded, and they were firing at us from three sides.  That's when one of our vehicles became disabled, and we knew we  couldn't fit everyone into just two vehicles even if we wanted to."

    They were under attack for nearly 45 minutes before they received a radio response because radio traffic was unusually heavy. 

    As the A-10s approached they made contact with the  soldiers, who gave them coordinates. The sound of gunfire over the  radio filled the A-10 cockpit - making it even more evident to the  pilots that they move quickly and be incredibly accurate as they would  be firing the A-10's 30-milimeter Gatling gun within 150 feet of the  soldiers. 

    "The soliders had set off a smoke grenade to show us their location, but  the smoke was extremely close to friendly forces, so we had to be  extremely careful. Normally we try not to get that close to  friendly forces, especially without a JTAC to give us exact coordinates,  but it quickly became an emergency close-air support mission."

    "If the A-10s had arrived two or three-minutes - at most seven minutes  later- we'd die. At that time, we were fighting and  fighting, and we were running out of ammo."

     

     

     

     

     

     

    History and Development
    A-10 Fairchild Warthog! Pt-1
    A-10 Fairchild Warthog! Pt-2
    A-10 Fairchild Warthog! Pt-3
    A-10 Fairchild Warthog! Pt-4
    A-10 Fairchild Warthog! Pt-5

December 28, 2012

  • Lionized for Lightning Victory in ’91 Gulf War, Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf, Dies at 78Desert S

    David Longstreath/Associated Press

    Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf answered questions during an interview in Riyadh in 1990.  More Photos »

     

    By 
    Published: December 27, 2012

     

    General Schwarzkopf, American Commander, Dies

     

    December 27, 2012
     

    Lionized for Lightning Victory in ’91 Gulf War, Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf, Dies at 78

     

    By 

     

    Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf, who commanded the American-led forces that crushed Iraq in the 1991 Persian Gulf war and became the nation’s most acclaimed military hero since the midcentury exploits of Generals Dwight D. Eisenhower and Douglas MacArthur, died on Thursday in Tampa, Fla. He was 78.

    The general, who retired soon after the gulf war and lived in Tampa, died of complications arising from a recent bout of pneumonia, said his sister Ruth Barenbaum. In 1993, he was found to have prostate cancer, for which he was successfully treated.

    In Operation Desert Storm, General Schwarzkopf orchestrated one of the most lopsided victories in modern warfare, a six-week blitzkrieg by a broad coalition of forces with overwhelming air superiority that liberated tiny Kuwait from Iraqi occupation, routed Saddam Hussein’s Republican Guard and virtually destroyed Iraq’s infrastructure, all with relatively light allied losses.

    Winning the lightning war was never in doubt and in no way comparable to the traumas of World War II and the Korean conflict, which made Eisenhower and MacArthur into national heroes and presidential timber. But a divisive Vietnam conflict and the cold war had produced no such heroes, and the little-known General Schwarzkopf was wreathed in laurels as the victor in a popular war against a brutal dictator.

    A combat-tested, highly decorated career officer who had held many commands, served two battlefield tours in Vietnam and coordinated American landing forces in the 1983 invasion of Grenada, he came home to a tumultuous welcome, including a glittering ticker-tape parade up Broadway in the footsteps of Lindbergh, MacArthur and the moon-landing Apollo astronauts.

    “Stormin’ Norman,” as headlines proclaimed him, was lionized by millions of euphoric Americans who, until weeks earlier, had never heard of him. President George Bush, whose popularity soared with the war, gave him the Presidential Medal of Freedom. Congress gave him standing ovations. Queen Elizabeth II made him an honorary knight. European and Asian nations conferred lavish honors.

    In his desert fatigues, he was interviewed on television, featured on magazine covers and feted at celebrations in Tampa, Washington and other cities. He led the Pegasus Parade at the Kentucky Derby in Louisville and was the superstar at the Indianapolis 500. Florida Republicans urged him to run for the United States Senate.

    Amid speculation about his future, a movement to draft him for president arose. He insisted he had no presidential aspirations, but Time magazine quoted him as saying he someday “might be able to find a sense of self-fulfillment serving my country in the political arena,” and he told Barbara Walters on the ABC News program “20/20” that he would not rule out a White House run.

    Within weeks, the four-star general had become a media and marketing phenomenon. Three months after the war, he signed a $5 million contract with Bantam Books for the world rights to his memoirs, “It Doesn’t Take a Hero,” written with Peter Petre and published in 1992. Herbert Mitgang, reviewing the book for The New York Times, called it a serviceable first draft of history. “General Schwarzkopf,” he wrote, “comes across as a strong professional soldier, a Patton with a conscience.”

    All but drowned out in the surge of approbation, critics noted that the general’s enormous air, sea and land forces had overwhelmed a country with a gross national product equivalent to North Dakota’s, and that while Iraq’s bridges, dams and power plants had been all but obliterated and tens of thousands of its troops killed (compared with a few hundred allied casualties), Saddam Hussein had been left in power.

    Postwar books, news reports and documentaries — a flood of information the general had restricted during the war — showed that most of Iraq’s elite Republican Guard, whose destruction had been a goal of war planners, had escaped from an ill-coordinated Marine and Army assault, and had not been pursued because of President Bush’s decision to halt the ground war after 100 hours.

    “The Generals’ War: The Inside Story of the Conflict in the Gulf” (1995), by Michael R. Gordon of The New York Times and the retired general Bernard E. Trainor, portrayed a White House rushed into ending the war prematurely by unrealistic fears of being criticized for killing too many Iraqis and by ignorance of events on the ground. It cast General Schwarzkopf as a second-rate commander who took credit for allied successes, blamed others for his mistakes and shouted at, but did not effectively control, his field commanders as the Republican Guard slipped away.

    He was depicted more sympathetically in other books, including “In the Eye of the Storm” (1991), by Roger Cohen and Claudio Gatti. “His swift triumph over Iraq in the 1991 gulf war came as a shock to a nation that had been battered, by failing industries and festering economic problems, into a sense that the century of its power was at an end,” they wrote. “Schwarzkopf appeared abruptly as an intensely human messenger of hope, however illusory or fragile.”

     

    Copyright. 2012. The New York Times Company. All Rights Reserved

December 23, 2012

  • Religion: Behind The First Noel

    TIME Magazine Cover: Secrets of the Nativity -- Dec. 13, 2004

     

    Friday, Dec. 17, 2004

    Religion: Behind The First Noel

    By David Van Biema Broward Liston/Orlando; Amanda Bower/New York; Helen Gibson/London; Marguerite Michaels/Arlington Heights

     

    Katie Larson is little too young to get it.  Her dad Brian has just slipped a blue-and-white-striped shepherd smock over her head. "Look at you," he says. "It's perfect." But Katie, 2, doesn't think so. Two years ago she was Baby Jesus, and that costume was much more comfortable. She begins to cry. "Do you want to hold this cute little baby sheep?" Brian asks, waving a stuffed toy before his daughter's beet-red face. Still no sale.

    Katie's brother Tyler, 6, is more at ease with all this. He obligingly pulls on the robe, cord belt and headdress worn by dozens of predecessor shepherds over years of Christmas pageants here at the First Presbyterian Church of Arlington Heights, Ill. "Now, what do shepherds do?" asks pageant director Phyllis Green. "They protect their sheep," he says promptly. His older brother Drew, who at 8 has two years more of this particular story under his shepherd's belt, chimes in, "And the angels come."

    As if on cue, from a Sunday-school classroom upstairs wafts the sound of 70 angelic young voices rendering a still shaky but clearly heartfelt version of Away in a Manger.

    Across the U.S., similar scenes are unfolding, as small children progress from incomprehension to playtime participation to the beginnings of actual Christmas understanding, thanks to pageants ranging from the most modest cardboard-camel presentations to near professional productions playing to thousands of people a week.

    No performance, not even those working from the prefabricated scripts and scores provided by Christian entertainment companies, will be exactly like another, because no two 6-year-old shepherds are alike.

    None will be precisely like the New Testament Gospel accounts, either, a fact that causes concern to almost no one. For children like Katie and Tyler and Drew, learning about Jesus at this age is like learning that birds have wings: the more complicated parts will be filled in later. At First Presbyterian, on the makeshift stage at the front of the sanctuary, the really important point for all Christians is being made: that God loved us all and came to earth in the form of a little baby, like our little brother or sister, and it was such a miracle that we shepherds watched and the fifth-grade angels sang. What more do we need to know?

    And yet how much more there is to learn, and how peculiar it is to find that the actual Gospel Nativities are the part of Jesus' biography about which Bible experts have the greatest sense of uncertainty--even more than the scripture about the miracles Jesus performed or his sacrificial death. Indeed, the Christmas story that Christians know by heart is actually a collection of mysteries. Where was Jesus actually born? Who showed up to celebrate his arrival? How do the details of the stories reflect the specific outreach agendas of the men who wrote them?

    In the debates over the literal truth of the Gospels, just about everyone acknowledges that major conclusions about Jesus' life are not based on forensic clues. There is no specific physical evidence for the key points of the story. There are the Christian testimonies, which begin with Paul in the 50s A.D. and are supported in part by a 1st century Roman reference to "Jesus, the so-called Christ," a "wise man" who "won over many of the Jews and also many of the Greeks," and who is described as crucified in accounts from the next century. Beyond such testimony, there are literary tools used to weigh plausibility. Were the Christian narratives written close after the events? Were there many talkative eyewitnesses? Do they agree? The details of Jesus' birth--in a humble place attended by only a few--are ill suited to the first two criteria. Mark and John do not tell about the Nativity at all. And despite agreeing on the big ideas, Matthew and Luke diverge in conspicuous ways on details of the event. In Matthew's Nativity, the angelic Annunciation is made to Joseph while Luke's is to Mary. Matthew's offers wise men and a star and puts the baby Jesus in a house; Luke's prefers shepherds and a manger. Both place the birth in Bethlehem, but they disagree totally about how it came to be there.

    One might be tempted to abandon the whole Nativity story as "unhistoric," mere theological backing and filling. Or one might take a broader view and, like the constantly evolving scholarship, look anew at these stories and what they tell us not just about the birth of Jesus but also about how his message was spread. "It's virtually impossible to reduce the accounts to a single core narrative," contends L. Michael White, University of Texas at Austin religious historian and author of From Jesus to Christianity. But that may not be the most important point. "What jumps out at close readers," he says, "is Matthew's and Luke's different roads to performing the vital theological task of their age: fitting key themes and symbols from Christianity's parent tradition, Judaism, into an emerging belief in Jesus and also working in ideas familiar to the Roman culture that surrounded them." Thus the Nativity stories provide a fascinating look at how each of the two men who agreed on so much--that Jesus was the Christ come among us and was crucified and resurrected and took away sin--could be inspired to begin his story in similar, yet hardly identical ways.

    THE ANNUNCIATION

    "Behold a virgin shall conceive"

    --THE MESSIAH

    There is no better introduction to the differences between Matthew's and Luke's approaches to the Nativity story than their tellings of the first key scene in the drama: the angelic announcement that a very special child will be born.

    In Matthew's version, an unnamed angel brings the news to Joseph in a dream. Matthew delivers the important information straightforwardly enough--"fear not to take unto thee Mary thy wife: for that which is conceived in her is of the Holy Ghost"--but he does so in a few brief lines, making the Annunciation proper just one in a sequence of such dreams and concentrating less on additional information about the event than on a series of citations regarding the prophecies the birth will fulfill. Scholars see this as an excellent indicator of Matthew's background and audience. A Jew living in a primarily Jewish community (either in Galilee or what is now Lebanon), he was brought up, like most of his neighbors, on the Jewish Scriptures (which Christians now know as the Old Testament). Making someone called Joseph a recipient of prophetic dreams would evoke an earlier dreamer of the same name: the Joseph whose sleeping visions of fat and lean cows in the Book of Genesis helped pull his people into Egypt and indirectly to their destiny at Mount Sinai as recipients of God's covenant laws. Matthew's Joseph too will soon move to Egypt, fleeing there to save the child who, according to Matthew, will both continue and replace God's compact with the faithful.

    Luke's version of the Annunciation is very different. It is the one we are more familiar with, in which the angel Gabriel greets Mary with the lines Catholics have often recited as "Hail, Mary, full of grace." It continues with a much more complete description of what came to be known as the virginal conception, and goes on through Mary's acceptance: "Behold, I am the handmaid of the Lord; be it unto me according to thy word."

    For centuries, Christians expended vast interpretive energies on that last phrase. Long-standing arguments between Catholics and Protestants revolved around whether Mary inherently possessed the grace enabling her to accept the divine will (making her more worthy of Catholic-style reverence) or was granted it on an as-needed basis. These days, however, some feminist readers like Vanderbilt University's Amy-Jill Levine, editor of the forthcoming Feminist Companion to Mariology, are more interested in what might be called Mary's feistiness. After all, Levine points out, the handmaid line does not follow immediately upon the angel's tidings that "thou shalt conceive in thy womb, and bring forth a son, and call his name Jesus ..." Rather, Mary poses the logical query, "How shall this be, seeing I know not a man?" Says Levine: "She asks, 'How's that going to happen?' And when his answer makes sense to her, she in effect gives permission." Was this what Luke had in mind when he put the scene down on papyrus? Probably not, but such readings may be an inevitable consequence of his daring decision to write from Mary's point of view.

    Other readers focus on Luke's ornate narrative context for the Annunciation. Before Mary gets the news, the angel alerts the family of her cousin Elizabeth that she, a barren woman, will bear "a child that will be great in the sight of the Lord"; that is, John the Baptist. After Mary's Annunciation, she visits Elizabeth, and the fetus in Elizabeth's belly miraculously leaps up in recognition of God's promised Messiah. Surrounding this and other subplots are a series of stunning poems, or canticles, which the church later gave Latin names like the Magnificat and the Benedictus. Later Luke will provide a full angelic chorus to accompany Jesus' birth.

    Such filagree, scholars concur, would have been foreign to Matthew, who wrote sometime after A.D. 60, a decade or two before Luke. "He would have found it very odd, very goyish, perhaps even offensive," says the University of Texas' White. But that, he contends, is the point. Unlike Matthew, Luke is thought to have been a pagan rather than a Jewish convert to Christianity, writing in fine Greek for other non-Jews and so using references they would find familiar. His version's heraldic announcements, parallel pregnancies, angelic choirs and shepherd witnesses bear a tantalizing resemblance to another literary form, the reverential "lives" being written about pagan leaders in the same period. In such sagas, a hero is not a hero unless his birth reflects the magnificence of his later achievements, and such super-nativities, originally attached to great figures from antiquity like Alexander the Great, were at that point bestowed upon Roman leaders within decades of their actual deaths. Was Luke selling out the Jewish tradition that had helped shape Jesus and Matthew? Hardly. He clearly cared about Judaism, paraphrasing frequently from the Scriptures and setting scenes of Jesus' later youth in the great Jewish temple. But by the time Luke wrote, says John Dominic Crossan, author of The Birth of Christianity, "Christians are competing in a bigger world now, not just a Jewish world ... And in this wider world, Alexander the Great is the model for Augustus and Augustus often becomes the model for Jesus."

    THE VIRGIN BIRTH

    "Round yon Virgin, Mother and Child/Holy Infant so Tender and mild"

    --SILENT NIGHT

    Of all the miracles surrounding the Nativity, the central and essential one is Jesus' birth to a woman who had "never known a man." In Luke, the angel Gabriel explains to Mary about her son's conception as follows: "The Holy Ghost shall come upon thee, and the power of the Highest shall overshadow thee; therefore also that holy thing which shall be born of thee shall be called the Son of God." Although neither of the Nativities marks a moment for the beginning of her ensuing pregnancy, Christians have long assumed it followed directly upon her "Let it be" response.

    To suggest that this (and Matthew's verse, "that which is conceived in [Mary] is of the Holy Ghost") is anything other than reported fact is to court blasphemy. The Holy Spirit's role in the conception in Mary's womb of God's Son, so spectacular and yet also touchingly intimate, is part of Christianity's theological bedrock and began entering the faith's creeds by the 2nd century. (Catholicism and Eastern Orthodoxy's beliefs go further, maintaining that Mary remained a virgin during and after Jesus' birth.) Says John Barclay, a New Testament expert at the University of Durham, England: "Theologically, this is the one thing that people will go to the stake for. If they defend the historicity of anything in the Christmas stories, they will defend this."

    Raymond Brown was one who did not. Brown, author of the landmark work The Birth of the Messiah, dean of historical Jesus scholars until his death in 1998 and a Sulpician priest, observed that the idea of divine conception in the womb appeared to be part of a theological progression. The very first Christians thought that Jesus had become God's Son at his Resurrection; Mark, the first Gospel written, seemed to locate the moment at his baptism in the Jordan; and it is only by the time that Matthew and Luke were writing that believers had dated his Sonship to before his birth. Thus, if Mary was the eyewitness source for the Holy Spirit's direct involvement in Jesus' birth (and who else could it be?), her testimony was lost to Christians for half a century before Luke somehow picked it up. Weighing this, facts like Jesus' relatives' seeming ignorance of his messiahship in Mark and John and other clues, Brown concluded that both Matthew and Luke "regarded the virginal conception as historical, but the modern intensity about historicity was not theirs." Applying modern standards, he called the question "unresolved."

    Such irresolution irks other Christians, who see Luke's line that "Mary kept all these things, pondering them in her heart," as a sign that she simply delayed telling people, and who must fight claims, some 2,000 years old, that the Nativities got the virginal conception wrong. Fellow Jews early on challenged Matthew's Gospel assertion that it fulfilled a prophecy in the Book of Isaiah that the Messiah would be born to a "virgin." (Isaiah's Hebrew actually talks of a "young girl"; Matthew was probably working from a Greek mistranslation.) Critics may also have alleged that Jesus' birth early in Mary's marriage to Joseph was the result of her committing adultery; much later Jewish sources named a Roman soldier called Panthera. Those accusations, some scholars believe, account for the verse in Matthew in which Joseph considers divorcing Mary before his dream angel allays his doubts. Related notions of Jesus' illegitimacy have never totally disappeared. Jane Schaberg, an iconoclastic feminist critic at the University of Detroit Mercy, has long maintained that parts of Luke's introduction to the topic echo the beginning of an Old Testament passage on rape ("If there be a virgin betrothed to a man, and if another ... should have lain with her"), suggesting violation as the cause of Mary's pregnancy. The Holy Spirit, in Schaberg's version, transmutes a ritually taboo pregnancy into an occasion of glory and the birth of the Holy Child.

    As New Testament scholars have delved deeper into the pagan faiths that competed with early Christianity for followers, Mary's virginity has been challenged from the opposite direction--not as an impossible novelty but as a theme borrowed from the literature of the non-Jewish world. Stephen Patterson of Eden Theological Seminary lists divinely irregular conceptions in stories about not only mythic heroes such as Perseus and Romulus and Remus but also flesh-and-blood figures like Plato, Alexander and Augustus, whose hagiographers reported he was fathered by the god Apollo while his mother slept. "Virgin births were a rather Gentile thing," says the Very Rev. John Drury, chaplain of All Souls' College at Oxford University. "You get it in a lot of the legends in Ovid where the god impregnates some young girl who has a miraculous son."

    This line of thought, with its possible implication that the Gospel writers imagined the Holy Spirit and Mary engaged in the kind of physical divine-human intercourse that vividly marked many Greek and Roman myths, is one of the most rancorous areas of the new scholarship. Brown found no merit in it. "Every line of Matthew's infancy narrative echoes Old Testament themes," he argued. "Are we to think that he accepted all that background but then violated horrendously the stern Old Testament [rule] that God was not a male who mated with women?" Other scholars claim that Luke especially might have been familiar with pagan models closer to the spiritual interaction that today's Christianity believes marked Jesus' conception.

    THE BIRTHPLACE

    "O little town of Bethlehem/How still we see thee lie"

    --O LITTLE TOWN OF BETHLEHEM

    Or would "O little town of Nazareth" be more accurate? Strange as it may seem, a majority of scholars now lean in the latter direction. Those sticking with Bethlehem point out, not unreasonably, that both Matthew and Luke place Jesus' birth there. The skeptics note that they reach the town by such extravagantly different means that one has to wonder whether they weren't trying too hard to get there.

    By Matthew's account, Joseph and Mary are Bethlehem residents and Jesus is born at home. But his very birth necessitates their flight to Egypt (and eventually Nazareth) because Jerusalem's vicious regent, Herod, is determined to murder the Bethlehem child he has learned will one day be King of the Jews. None of that gripping story, however, can be found in Luke. According to Luke, Joseph and Mary, Nazarenes, are on a brief if inconvenient visit to Joseph's ancestral home of Bethlehem, complying with a vast census ("All the world should be enrolled") ordered by the Roman Emperor Augustus. Meanwhile, Mark, written closer to Jesus' actual lifetime, omits Bethlehem and refers to Nazareth as Jesus' patrida, or hometown.

    That variation has produced three responses among scholars. Traditionalists promote theories meshing Matthew's and Luke's versions. Says Paul L. Maier, a professor of ancient history at Western Michigan University: "Radical New Testament critics say it's a hopeless jumble. I myself do not think it's impossible to harmonize them." Others champion one Gospel writer while discounting the other. A growing majority, however, conclude that there is simply not enough textual agreement to declare Bethlehem a historical given.

    Rather, they see the destination as having been a theological necessity. Bethlehem had been King David's hometown. And in a confused 1st century theological landscape in which many Jews expected a mighty new leader but disagreed on his nature, David's biblical status as God's "anointed one" (or "Messiah") provided a potent precedent of divinely sanctioned kingship. Binding Jesus to him by family (through Joseph) and birthplace consolidated that definition, which then matured into Christianity's far grander messiahship. Says White: "No Bethlehem, no David. No David, no messianic prototype. Matthew and Luke both understood that." The way each Gospel writer got the Holy Family there, by contrast, reflected his particular preoccupations.

    Matthew was once again trying to tie his Nativity ever tighter to the Old Testament so that potential Jewish converts could feel comfortable with the new religion. The clue is Herod, whose failure to track down Jesus leads him to order the death of all local children under age 2. That "Slaughter of the Innocents" is a near replay of a much earlier infanticide: Pharaoh's murder of all the male infants of Israel in Exodus. Jews would recall that Pharaoh's most famous escapee (via those bulrushes) was Moses, who eventually received the Law from God at Sinai. Through the echoing narrative, Matthew was arguing for Jesus as Moses' successor. Says The Birth of Christianity's Crossan: "One of the things Matthew's going to do later in his Gospel is have Jesus up on a new mountain giving a new law. We call it the Sermon on the Mount."

    And Luke, of course, once again had his eye on the pagan world. His key term is the census. In Jesus' time, the immensely popular Emperor Augustus was setting himself up not just as the ruler but also as the semidivine savior of the world. Wherever his censuses reached, his aggressive version of the Roman civic faith followed (along with his tax collectors).

    Luke's description of an empire-wide census at the time of Jesus' birth, with Palestine's part conducted by the Syrian governor Quirinius, seems inaccurate. There is no other record of a census in Palestine at the time, and Quirinius was not yet governor. But he did administer an infamous census on Augustus' behalf some 12 years later, in A.D. 6. Resentment over it sparked a rebellion by Jewish messianic zealots that seethed for decades and finally backfired horribly in the Romans' razing of Jewish Jerusalem in A.D. 70.

    Luke would have remembered that slaughter. By documenting Joseph and Mary's compliance with Quirinius' census, he was broadcasting to Roman readers that his fellow Christians were not that kind of messianists, intent on armed revolt. But by framing Christ's birth in the context of that empire-wide tally, he was also suggesting that not just Jewish Palestine but also the entire known world was a possible horizon for Christ's kingdom. It was a delicate line. The adult Jesus would later put it nicely (although Luke may have inherited this particular phrase from the earlier-written Mark): "Render therefore unto Caesar the things which be Caesar's, and unto God the things which be God's."

    THE STAR

    "O star of wonder, star of night/Star with royal beauty bright"

    --WE THREE KINGS

    It is doubtless one of the best-loved elements of the Christmas tale. To scholar Brown tracing its path in Matthew, however, the star was a puzzle, a celestial body engaged in a maneuver a little like a car attempting a three-point turn. "A star that rose in the east, appeared over Jerusalem, turned south to Bethlehem, and then came to rest over a house," he ruminated, "would have constituted a celestial phenomenon unparalleled in astronomical history. Yet it did not receive notice in the records of the time."

    Brown was aware of the star's theological importance to Matthew. For some Jews it probably brought to mind a verse from the Old Testament book Numbers alluding to David's messianic status--"A star shall come out of Jacob and a [king] shall rise out of Israel." By making the star the object of the non-Jewish Magi's curiosity, Matthew showed that if he lacked Luke's detailed pagan background, he at least had some knowledge that stellar displays had meaning to non-Jews as well. In fact, stars were associated with the founding of Rome and the fall of Jerusalem, plus the birth of the usual suspects: Alexander the Great and Julius and Augustus Caesar. Even Herod reportedly had his own.

    The blank space that Brown reported in the 1st century astronomical accounts where there should have been notice of Jesus' star has not prevented thousands of enthusiasts from attempting to locate it retroactively. Supernovas, comets and planetary conjunctions have all had their day. No less an eminence weighed in than the astronomer Johannes Kepler, whose laws first accurately plotted the planets' revolutions around the sun. He noted that a triple conjunction of Jupiter, Saturn and Mars, which he observed in 1604, could produce an appropriate extended effect. Moreover, he calculated that it recurs every 805 years, which means that it came around in 6 B.C., the year usually assigned (because of changes in the calendar) to Jesus' birth. More recently, the nova theory has received a boost with the discovery of Han-dynasty Chinese and Korean records of blazing stellar bodies at about the same time. Finally, some analysts have suggested that Matthew was so impressed by Halley's comet in A.D. 66, and by the testimony of very old Christians who had seen it in 12 B.C., that he wrote it into the story.

    For those not astronomically inclined, however, the star continues to work just fine as a symbol. With skepticism but not without poetry, A.N. Wilson, author of Jesus: A Life, notes, "Astronomers will never find the real star of Bethlehem because the real star of Bethlehem is a thing of our imagination. It's the light shining over the Christ Child."

    THE MAGI

    "We three kings of Orient are/ Bearing gifts we traverse afar"

    --WE THREE KINGS

    Well, from where exactly in the Orient (which means simply "East") were they, anyway? Matthew's word Magi is a vague clue, since it can mean astronomers, wise men or magicians and was applied to people from all over. The gifts they bore--gold, frankincense and myrrh--hint at Arabia, since unrelated Bible stories describe camel trains of similar tribute emanating from Sheba and Midian, both on that peninsula. Their interest in stars suggests Babylon, famous for its astrologers. The happiest guess of all turned out to be the one made in the 4th century by the decorators of the Church of the Nativity in Palestine, whose golden entry mosaic featured the Magi dressed as Persians, also renowned stargazers. When actual Persians came marauding in 614, it was the only place of worship they didn't torch.

    In any case, Matthew's wise men were a classic case of fish out of water. ("Like a meeting of Iranian ayatullahs in Nebraska," quips Theodore Jennings Jr. of the Chicago Theological Seminary.) This impression may have been no accident, since it expressed Matthew's growing frustration at the majority of fellow Jews who dismissed his messianic claims for Jesus and may have ostracized and persecuted some of his co-believers. Thus it was the Magi rather than Jews who followed the star to Jerusalem and innocently alerted Herod. In a dire foreshadowing of Christ's Passion, Matthew reports that rather than being helpful, the half-Jewish King and his Jewish "chief priests and scribes" conspired to kill the Christ Child. The Gospel has the Magi briefly co-opted into his scheme as advance scouts. But on finally locating Jesus, Matthew says, they "fell down and worshipped him." "They responded well, and the insiders didn't," says Fr. Donald Senior, president of Catholic Theological Union in Chicago. Indeed, the Magi are sometimes used simply as a way of expressing Christianity's openness to the far-flung and the unlikely.

    The Magi had a lively postbiblical career. As early as the 2nd century, they were promoted to kings, probably because frankincense is associated with royalty in one of the Psalms. Their number, which varied in different accounts from two to 12, eventually settled on three, most likely because of their three gifts. By the 700s they had achieved their current names--Melchior, Gaspar and Balthasar--and multiculti composition. "The first is said to have been ... an old man with white hair and a long beard," reads a medieval Irish description. "The second ... beardless and ruddy-complexioned ... the third, black-skinned and heavily bearded." Scholars have suggested that the mix either was intended to underscore Christianity's world-wide ambitions or referred back to an earlier diverse threesome, Noah's sons Shem, Ham and Japheth.

    The wise men seem to have kept busy well into their golden years, at least according to a calendar of saints at the great cathedral in Cologne, Germany, where their alleged remains are housed: "Having undergone many trials and fatigues for the Gospel," it reads, they met one last time in Armenia. "Thereupon, after the celebration of Mass, they died. St. Melchior on Jan. 1, age 116; St. Balthasar on Jan. 6th, age 112; and St. Gaspar on Jan. 11, age 109."

    THE MANGER

    "Away in a manger/ No crib for His bed/ The little Lord Jesus/ Laid down His sweet head"

    --AWAY IN A MANGER

    Most Christians who visit the Holy Land go to see Bethlehem's Church of the Nativity. When they get there, some are surprised to be led not to a stable but to one of a series of basement grottoes where they are informed Christ was born. The Nativity Church may not be the best possible guide, since it was built well after the fact, circa 324, by Helena, mother of Constantine, the first Roman Emperor to become a Christian. Nonetheless, she was heeding strong oral traditions that seem to have prevailed in the region for many years, and the idea of a cave is not so exotic as it might seem. Then, as now, many West Bank houses were built onto natural caverns that function as rooms and basements and, yes, even mangers.

    In keeping with his view of Joseph and Mary as year-round residents, Matthew has the Magi visit a "house." Luke introduces the manger as part of his view of them as involuntary short-timers. The English word manger, like the original Greek word phatne in Luke, is even more modest than our usual understanding of it. It means not a stable but simply a feeding trough or at best a stall. Either word would be consistent with the kind of rural poverty that has inspired poor people and their champions throughout the history of Christianity. Today's crèche scenes, even the more elaborate ones, actually descend from an attempt by the 13th century ascetic genius St. Francis of Assisi to recapture this humble ideal. Put off by the jewel-encrusted and gilt-covered re-creations in the noble courts of his time, he borrowed some real farm animals and real straw and convened his midnight Mass on Christmas Eve of 1223 around a back-to-basics pageant that, as he wrote, showed "how He suffered the lack for all those things needed by an infant."

    Oh, yes, the animals. Luke did not include any. The ox and ass first appeared much later, in artistic renderings like a 4th century Roman sarcophagus that shows them peeking over the side of Jesus' crib. Cute as it was, the image served an interreligious enmity, employing for Christian purposes God's annoyed statement in the Old Testament Book of Isaiah that "the ox knows its owner, and the donkey knows its master's crib, but Israel has not known me." By contrast, the camels that pop up in many Nativities are relatively innocent. A passage from the medieval compendium of saints' lives called The Golden Legend tells how they solved a logistical problem for a perplexed church father: "Now it may be demanded how, in so little space of 13 days, [the Magi] might come from so far as from the East unto Jerusalem, which is a great space and a long way. S. Jerome saith, that they came upon dromedaries, which be beasts that may go in one day as an horse in three days."

    THE ANGELS

    "Glo-o-o-o-o-o-ria/In excelsis de-o"

    --ANGELS WE HAVE HEARD ON HIGH

    The actual birth announcement is in Luke 2: 11. An angel proclaims, "Behold, I bring you good tidings of great joy ... for unto you is born this day in the city of David a Saviour, which is Christ the Lord." And "suddenly," Luke continues, "there was with the angel a multitude of the heavenly host praising God, and saying, Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will to men."

    How do the experts interpret these lines? As you might guess, they wonder where Luke got them. The first angel's language, some note, was less biblical than ... imperial. Brown called it "a christology phrased in a language that echoes Roman imperial propaganda." Recent scholars have said it is a near parody of one of the Emperor's titles at the time: "Son of God, Lord, Savior of the World, and the One Who Has Brought Peace on Earth."

    Was the resemblance accidental? Some of the more left-leaning interpreters doubt it. They claim that as Luke's Nativity went on, it became more openly critical of the Roman system and supportive of the struggles of its poorer Palestinian subjects. Mary's Magnificat, for instance, reprises some of the more radical sentiments of the Hebrew Bible: "[God] hath put down the mighty from their seats, and exalted them of low degree/ He hath filled the hungry with good things;/ and the rich he hath sent away empty."

    Exegetes like Eden Theological Seminary's Patterson think the angel's birth announcement embodies the hope that Jesus' coming kingdom will turn political as well as religious worlds upside down. "Luke can't be saying anything other than 'You think you have a son of God in Augustus?'" he says. "'You think you have a savior in the Emperor? It's all foolishness. If you want to know the peace of God, not the Pax Romana, you have to look somewhere else.'" Since the '60s, such readings have inspired Christian social activists from civil rights preachers to Catholic liberation theologians.

    Other scholars think this interpretation is significantly overdrawn, and suggest that the angel's language may be a straightforward homage to the Augustan official style. However anti-Roman the Gospels' undertones, they point out, they were certainly not offensive enough to prevent Constantine from eventually adopting Christianity as an official religion of his empire in A.D. 313 and exporting it around the world.

    MOST CHRISTMAS WORSHIPPERS, OF COURSE, are not currently focusing tightly on the Gospels' backstory. In this holiday season, they will be less interested in analyzing Matthew's message than in celebrating it, less concerned about parsing Luke's sentiments than in singing them. The beauty of Christmas carols is that they can retrieve the drama that the eye may quickly skip over on the page. Luke's description of "a multitude of the heavenly host praising God" is certainly vivid. But does it truly express--the way, perhaps, the single word glory, extended in five-part harmony over four delirious musical measures in Angels We Have Heard on High can--the awesome irruption of heaven's fearful and beautiful phalanxes into our modest reality? As both Matthew and Luke were well aware, it is not enough just to have a Gospel. You need a congregation to truly contemplate the event. Even among congregations inclined toward the most politically progressive analysis of Scripture, when the angel in their pageants intones, "For unto you is born this day in the city of David a Saviour, which is Christ the Lord," valid issues of Christianity's relationship to empires (past and present) recede; hearts hear a simple joyous proclamation of salvation.

    The Rev. Dr. Dianne Shields understands this. Shields became a pastor at Arlington Heights First Presbyterian in 1991. She calls her religious politics "moderately liberal." She studied her New Testament at McCormick Theological Seminary and has preached her share of scholarly sermons on the Magi and the meaning of Mary's answer to Gabriel.

    But during the Christmas pageant rehearsal on the Sunday before Thanksgiving, she was not concerned with any of that. Instead, she was unpacking a shimmering, silver gown with two large cardboard wings trimmed with gold stars that she will Velcro to her shoulders a couple of weeks from now. A floral wreath, spray-painted gold, will bedeck her head. All eyes will be upon her. But the costume will not be the draw. In the Arlington Heights pageant, she will play the angel who carries the baby Jesus to the manger at the front of the sanctuary.

    Last year she had a chance to move up to a singing part. Another pastor retired, and Shields was in line to become a wise man. She declined. "I wouldn't give up my angel role," she says. The mother of three grown children, she thrives on the long walk up the center aisle, the infant in her arms. "I love holding the baby," who this year will be 5-month-old Emma Zintara, Shields says.

    "I walk very slowly, so that everyone can see her and touch her." And as they do, many will cry out, if only silently within their hearts, Hallelujah! --With reporting by Broward Liston/Orlando, Amanda Bower/ New York, Helen Gibson/London and Marguerite Michaels/Arlington Heights

    • Copyright 2012. Time Warner.com. All Rights Reserved

December 17, 2012

  • Beautiful Christmas Tree With Heartfelt Comments.

    Photos from vintspiration@Flickr.com

    I think this Christmas Tree is exquisitely decorated, with extraordinary attention to detail, so much so that I could not resist sharing it with you here. But what really touched my Heart more than anything was the comment that was entered underneath this photograph by the creator of the photograph anr the Tree.

    " I bought the tree, carried it in, set it up and decorated it all by myself! All #vintage ornaments of course. ;) #firstchristmasinalongtime #tree #christmas #decorated
    from vintspiration@Flickr.com

  • Disruptive major Midwest storm Thursday, Friday

    Disruptive major Midwest storm Thursday, Friday

    A powerful storm heads toward the Midwest, and threatens to disrupt travel.

    Updated: 12/17/2012

    AccuWeather

    A powerful storm will take aim on the Midwest during the second half of the week and threatens to bring travel disruptions, damage and power outages.

    Cities in the path of one or more aspects of the storm include Kansas City, Omaha, St. Louis, Des Moines, Chicago, Milwaukee, Indianapolis, Louisville, Detroit, Cincinnati and Cleveland.

    The most widespread aspect of the storm will be high winds sweeping eastward spanning Thursday and Friday. Gusts in the neighborhood of 50 to 60 mph are possible from the eastern Plains to the Appalachians.

    There is the potential for gusts to near hurricane-force in the vicinity of the Great Lakes later Thursday into Friday.

    N/A

    Winds of this strength have can bring downed trees, power outages, truck roll overs and major flight delays.

    The high winds will accompany a dramatic change to cold weather. While this change will be brief over part of the central Plains and Tennessee Valley, it can bring a rapid freezeup to part of the Upper Midwest and a major lake-effect snow event.

    N/A

    Even a small amount of snow preceded by rain can quickly freeze, making for a commuting nightmare Thursday afternoon and evening around Chicago and Milwaukee and Thursday night around Detroit.

    Related:
    Emergency preparedness tips
    How to survive a winter breakdown
    Winter driving to live by

    The storm will bring blizzard conditions from portions of Kansas to the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. Senior Meteorologist Kristina Pydynowski has more on the snow in "Denver to Green Bay Snowstorm in the Works."

    Bands of heavy lake-effect snow and snow squalls accompanied by the high winds will also lead to white-out conditions downwind of the Great Lakes as the storm pulls away Friday into Saturday.

    The storm will also have dramatic weather effects in the South and the Northeast.

    A severe weather outbreak is possible in the South in keeping with tradition over recent years during December.

    The storm will pull warm air northward ahead of a strong cold front and powerful winds in the upper levels of the atmosphere.

    Violent storms with damaging winds are possible in the South. Thunderstorms can accompany the frontal passage in the Midwest and Northeast as well.

    Strong south-to-southeasterly winds ahead of the front can bring coastal flooding problems in New England. The storm has the potential to bring flooding downpours and travel delays along the East Coast later Thursday into Friday.

    Powerful winds in the wake of the front Friday into Saturday can also lead to flight delays and minor power outages along the East Coast. Heavy snow is also a possibility from northern upstate New York to northern Maine.

    One positive aspect of the storm and others in the recent past and possibly on deck is the moisture aspect for part of the needy upper Mississippi Valley. For example, enough moisture falling over the Illinois River Basin could help to stabilize the Mississippi River at St. Louis in the short term.

    Meteorologist Meghan Evans discusses who is most likely to have a white Christmas this year in "Stormier Pattern Increasing White Christmas Odds."

    Copyright AccuWeather.com, Redistribution Prohibited