Month: April 2013

  • Maria Sharapova successfully defends WTA Stuttgart title She beats China’s Li Na in Sunday’s final i

    Maria Sharapova poses next to the Porsche 911 Carrera which she claimed by winning the WTA tournament in Stuttgart.

    Maria Sharapova poses next to the Porsche 911 Carrera which she claimed by winning the WTA tournament in Stuttgart

     

    STORY HIGHLIGHTS
    • Maria Sharapova successfully defends WTA Stuttgart title
    • She beats China’s Li Na in Sunday’s final in straight sets
    • Sharapova is defending her French Open crown next month
    • Winner of Stuttgart tournament also lands a Porsche sports car

    (CNN) – Maria Sharapova won the battle of French Open champions as she claimed the Stuttgart title Sunday with a straight sets win over China’s Li Na.

    Sharapova will be defending her title at the clay court grand slam in Paris next month, while Li took the French crown in 2011.

    Sharapova, who won in Stuttgart in 2012, reserved her best tennis of the week for the final as she brushed aside Li in just over 90 minutes on the indoor clay court surface.

    She had taken three sets to go through in all her three previous matches, but a 6-4 6-3 victory was reward for commanding play.

     

    Women’s tennis top stars talk personal

     

    The story behind Sharapova’s success

     

    Tennis: Li Na upsets Sharapova

     

    Maria Sharapova’s greatest hits

    “I knew this was going to be the toughest match of the week, so I am really pleased with the way things worked out,” Sharapova told AFP.

    “She has played good tennis all week and I am really happy to have won here again.”

    Read: Sharapova: Struggles made me stronger

    Li had won their previous clash in the semifinals of the Australian Open, but she was broken twice in each set as she slipped to defeat.

    It has proved an excellent work out for Sharapova as she builds up to the French Open defense, with hard fought wins over Lucie Safarova, Ana Ivanovic and Angelique Kerber on the way to the title match.

    Last year she beat 2013 Australian Open champion Victoria Azarenka in the Stuttgart final before claiming her Roland Garros triumph.

    “It definitely helped last year on the way to the French Open, it’s good to bring back the same confidence on clay as last year,” Sharapova added.

    As an added award for claiming her 29th WTA career title, Sharapova once again can drive away a luxury Porsche 911 Carrera, a bonus from the tournament sponsors.

     

     

  • The Mind of a Con Man

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    Published: April 26, 2013 17 Comments
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    One summer night in 2011, a tall, 40-something professor named Diederik Stapel stepped out of his elegant brick house in the Dutch city of Tilburg to visit a friend around the corner. It was close to midnight, but his colleague Marcel Zeelenberg had called and texted Stapel that evening to say that he wanted to see him about an urgent matter. The two had known each other since the early ’90s, when they were Ph.D. students at the University of Amsterdam; now both were psychologists at Tilburg University. In 2010, Stapel became dean of the university’s School of Social and Behavioral Sciences and Zeelenberg head of the social psychology department. Stapel and his wife, Marcelle, had supported Zeelenberg through a difficult divorce a few years earlier. As he approached Zeelenberg’s door, Stapel wondered if his colleague was having problems with his new girlfriend.

     
    Raimond Wouda for The New York Times

    The Utrecht train station, site of one of Stapel’s most famous fake experiments.

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    Raimond Wouda for The New York Times

    The University of Groningen, where Stapel conducted many of his fraudulent experiments.

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    Zeelenberg, a stocky man with a shaved head, led Stapel into his living room. “What’s up?” Stapel asked, settling onto a couch. Two graduate students had made an accusation, Zeelenberg explained. His eyes began to fill with tears. “They suspect you have been committing research fraud.”

    Stapel was an academic star in the Netherlands and abroad, the author of several well-regarded studies on human attitudes and behavior. That spring, he published a widely publicized study in Science about an experiment done at the Utrecht train station showing that a trash-filled environment tended to bring out racist tendencies in individuals. And just days earlier, he received more media attention for a study indicating that eating meat made people selfish and less social.

    His enemies were targeting him because of changes he initiated as dean, Stapel replied, quoting a Dutch proverb about high trees catching a lot of wind. When Zeelenberg challenged him with specifics — to explain why certain facts and figures he reported in different studies appeared to be identical — Stapel promised to be more careful in the future. As Zeelenberg pressed him, Stapel grew increasingly agitated.

    Finally, Zeelenberg said: “I have to ask you if you’re faking data.”

    “No, that’s ridiculous,” Stapel replied. “Of course not.”

    That weekend, Zeelenberg relayed the allegations to the university rector, a law professor named Philip Eijlander, who often played tennis with Stapel. After a brief meeting on Sunday, Eijlander invited Stapel to come by his house on Tuesday morning. Sitting in Eijlander’s living room, Stapel mounted what Eijlander described to me as a spirited defense, highlighting his work as dean and characterizing his research methods as unusual. The conversation lasted about five hours. Then Eijlander politely escorted Stapel to the door but made it plain that he was not convinced of Stapel’s innocence.

    That same day, Stapel drove to the University of Groningen, nearly three hours away, where he was a professor from 2000 to 2006. The campus there was one of the places where he claimed to have collected experimental data for several of his studies; to defend himself, he would need details from the place. But when he arrived that afternoon, the school looked very different from the way he remembered it being five years earlier. Stapel started to despair when he realized that he didn’t know what buildings had been around at the time of his study. Then he saw a structure that he recognized, a computer center. “That’s where it happened,” he said to himself; that’s where he did his experiments with undergraduate volunteers. “This is going to work.”

    On his return trip to Tilburg, Stapel stopped at the train station in Utrecht. This was the site of his study linking racism to environmental untidiness, supposedly conducted during a strike by sanitation workers. In the experiment described in the Science paper, white volunteers were invited to fill out a questionnaire in a seat among a row of six chairs; the row was empty except for the first chair, which was taken by a black occupant or a white one. Stapel and his co-author claimed that white volunteers tended to sit farther away from the black person when the surrounding area was strewn with garbage. Now, looking around during rush hour, as people streamed on and off the platforms, Stapel could not find a location that matched the conditions described in his experiment.

    “No, Diederik, this is ridiculous,” he told himself at last. “You really need to give it up.”

    After he got home that night, he confessed to his wife. A week later, the university suspended him from his job and held a news conference to announce his fraud. It became the lead story in the Netherlands and would dominate headlines for months. Overnight, Stapel went from being a respected professor to perhaps the biggest con man in academic science.

    I first met Stapel in the summer of 2012, nearly a year after his dismissal from Tilburg. I’d read about his fraud in various places, including the pages of Science magazine, where I work as a writer covering mostly astronomy and space science. Before seeing the news accounts, I was unaware of the study Stapel published in Science; the news writers there have no involvement with the research papers published in the magazine.

    When Stapel and I met for lunch in Antwerp, about a 50-mile drive from Tilburg, investigating committees at the three universities where he had worked — Amsterdam, Groningen and Tilburg — were in the process of combing through his several dozen research papers to determine which ones were fraudulent. The scrutiny was meant not only to clean up the scientific record but also to establish whether any of Stapel’s co-authors, including more than 20 Ph.D. students he supervised, shared any of the blame. It was already evident that many of the doctoral dissertations he oversaw were based on his fabricated data.

    Right away Stapel expressed what sounded like heartfelt remorse for what he did to his students. “I have fallen from my throne — I am on the floor,” he said, waving at the ground. “I am in therapy every week. I hate myself.” That afternoon and in later conversations, he referred to himself several times as tall, charming or handsome, less out of arrogance, it seemed, than what I took to be an anxious desire to focus on positive aspects of himself that were demonstrably not false.

    Stapel’s fraud may shine a spotlight on dishonesty in science, but scientific fraud is hardly new. The rogues’ gallery of academic liars and cheats features scientific celebrities who have enjoyed similar prominence. The once-celebrated South Korean stem-cell researcher Hwang Woo Suk stunned scientists in his field a few years ago after it was discovered that almost all of the work for which he was known was fraudulent. The prominent Harvard evolutionary biologist Marc Hauser resigned in 2011 during an investigation by the Office of Research Integrity at the Department of Health and Human Services that would end up determining that some of his papers contained fabricated data.

    Every year, the Office of Research Integrity uncovers numerous instances­ of bad behavior by scientists, ranging from lying on grant applications to using fake images in publications. A blog called Retraction Watch publishes a steady stream of posts about papers being retracted by journals because of allegations or evidence of misconduct.

    Each case of research fraud that’s uncovered triggers a similar response from scientists. First disbelief, then anger, then a tendency to dismiss the perpetrator as one rotten egg in an otherwise-honest enterprise. But the scientific misconduct that has come to light in recent years suggests at the very least that the number of bad actors in science isn’t as insignificant as many would like to believe. And considered from a more cynical point of view, figures like Hwang and Hauser are not outliers so much as one end on a continuum of dishonest behaviors that extend from the cherry-picking of data to fit a chosen hypothesis — which many researchers admit is commonplace — to outright fabrication. Still, the nature and scale of Stapel’s fraud sets him apart from most other cheating academics. “The extent to which I did it, the longevity of it, makes it extreme,” he told me. “Because it is not one paper or 10 but many more.”

    Stapel did not deny that his deceit was driven by ambition. But it was more complicated than that, he told me. He insisted that he loved social psychology but had been frustrated by the messiness of experimental data, which rarely led to clear conclusions. His lifelong obsession with elegance and order, he said, led him to concoct sexy results that journals found attractive. “It was a quest for aesthetics, for beauty — instead of the truth,” he said. He described his behavior as an addiction that drove him to carry out acts of increasingly daring fraud, like a junkie seeking a bigger and better high.

    When I asked Stapel if he had told me the truth, he looked offended. He didn’t have any reason to lie anymore, he said. For more than a decade, he ran an experiment in deceit, and now he was finally ready for the truth — to understand how and why he ended up in this place. “When you live your life and suddenly something extreme happens,” he said, “your whole life becomes a bag of possible explanations for why you are here now.”

    Stapel lives in a picturesque tree-lined neighborhood in Tilburg, a quiet city of 200,000 in the south of the Netherlands. One afternoon last November, he sat in his kitchen eating a quickly assembled lunch of cheese, bread and chocolate sprinkles, running his fingers through his hair and mulling the future. The universities investigating him were preparing to come out with a final report a week later, which Stapel hoped would bring an end to the incessant flogging he had received in the Dutch media since the beginning of the scandal. The report’s publication would also allow him to release a book he had written in Dutch titled “Ontsporing” — “derailment” in English — for which he was paid a modest advance. The book is an examination of his life based on a personal diary he started after his fraud was made public. Stapel wanted it to bring both redemption and profit, and he seemed not to have given much thought to whether it would help or hurt him in his narrower quest to seek forgiveness from the students and colleagues he duped.

    Stapel brought out individually wrapped chocolate bars for us to share. As we ate them, I watched him neatly fold up his wrappers into perfectly rectangular shapes. Later, I got used to his reminding me not to leave doors ajar when we walked in or out of a room. When I pointed this out, he admitted to a lifelong obsession with order and symmetry.

    Several times in our conversation, Stapel alluded to having a fuzzy, postmodernist relationship with the truth, which he agreed served as a convenient fog for his wrongdoings. “It’s hard to know the truth,” he said. “When somebody says, ‘I love you,’ how do I know what it really means?” At the time, the Netherlands would soon be celebrating the arrival of St. Nicholas, and the younger of his two daughters sat down by the fireplace to sing a traditional Dutch song welcoming St. Nick. Stapel remarked to me that children her age, which was 10, knew that St. Nick wasn’t really going to come down the chimney. “But they like to believe it anyway, because it assures them of presents,” he told me with a wink.

    In his early years of research — when he supposedly collected real experimental data — Stapel wrote papers laying out complicated and messy relationships between multiple variables. He soon realized that journal editors preferred simplicity. “They are actually telling you: ‘Leave out this stuff. Make it simpler,’ ” Stapel told me. Before long, he was striving to write elegant articles.

    On a Sunday morning, as we drove to a village near Maastricht to see his parents, Stapel reflected on why his behavior had sparked such outrage in the Netherlands. “People think of scientists as monks in a monastery looking out for the truth,” he said. “People have lost faith in the church, but they haven’t lost faith in science. My behavior shows that science is not holy.”

    What the public didn’t realize, he said, was that academic science, too, was becoming a business. “There are scarce resources, you need grants, you need money, there is competition,” he said. “Normal people go to the edge to get that money. Science is of course about discovery, about digging to discover the truth. But it is also communication, persuasion, marketing. I am a salesman. I am on the road. People are on the road with their talk. With the same talk. It’s like a circus.” He named two psychologists he admired — John Cacioppo and Daniel Gilbert — neither of whom has been accused of fraud. “They give a talk in Berlin, two days later they give the same talk in Amsterdam, then they go to London. They are traveling salesmen selling their story.”

    The car let out a warning beep to indicate that we had exceeded the speed limit. Stapel slowed down. I asked him if he wished there had been some sort of alarm system for his career before it unraveled. “That would have been helpful, sure,” he said. “I think I need shocks, though. This is not enough.” Some friends, he said, asked him what could have made him stop. “I am not sure,” he told me. “I don’t think there was going to be an end. There was no stop button. My brain was stuck. It had to explode. This was the only way.”

    Stapel’s father, Rob, who is in his 80s, walked out to greet us when we arrived. Stapel’s mother, Dirkje, also in her mid-80s and a foot shorter than Stapel, made him tilt his head so that she could check out a rash on his forehead, which he said was due to stress. He gave them a copy of his book. His mother thumbed through the pages. “I never knew Diederik was so unhappy all these years,” she told me, referring to the guilt and shame that Stapel described having lived with through his academic career.

    Stapel was the youngest of four children. The family lived near Amsterdam, where Rob, a civil engineer, worked as a senior manager of the Schiphol Airport. Stapel told me that his father’s devotion to his career led him to grow up thinking that individuals were defined by what they accomplished professionally. “That’s what my parents’ generation was like,” he said. “You are what you achieve.”

    In high school, where Stapel says he excelled in his studies and at sports, he wrote and acted in plays. One of his friends was a student named Marcelle, a fellow actor who would later become his wife. After school, Stapel briefly studied acting at East Stroudsburg University in Pennsylvania before deciding his acting talents were mediocre and returning to the Netherlands to get an undergraduate degree in psychology.

    He eventually applied to the University of Amsterdam to do a Ph.D. on how people judge others. He didn’t get that slot — it went to a young applicant from Leiden named Marcel Zeelenberg. But a year later, Stapel joined the university to pursue a doctorate on a different topic, assimilation and contrast, under a respected psychologist named Willem Koomen.

    Assimilation and contrast are both established psychological effects. When people are primed with, or made to deliberate on, an abstract concept — honesty, say, or arrogance — they can be more likely to see it elsewhere. That’s assimilation. Contrast can occur when people compare something to a concrete example, comparing themselves, for instance, to the image of a supermodel.

    For his dissertation, Stapel did a series of experiments showing that whether people assimilate or contrast depends on context. In doing these studies, Stapel had to go through the tedium and messiness that are the essence of empirical science. To prime subjects, he designed word puzzles that, when solved, led his undergraduate volunteer subjects to words like “intelligence” or “Einstein.” Then he asked them to read a story about a character and score the character on a numerical scale for intelligence, friendliness and other traits. Stapel found that when subjects were primed with something in the abstract, like the word “intelligence,” they tended to find that trait more readily in themselves and in others, judging, for instance, a story character as more intelligent than they otherwise would have. Yet when they were primed with an example of the trait — the word “Einstein” — they tended to make a comparison, judging the story character as less intelligent.

    Stapel got his Ph.D. in 1997. Koomen, who is still a professor at Amsterdam, does not doubt the integrity of Stapel’s experiments for the doctorate. “Stapel was an extraordinarily gifted, enthusiastic and diligent Ph.D. student,” Koomen told me via e-mail. “It was a privilege to work with him.”

    At Amsterdam, Stapel and Zeelenberg became close friends, working at two opposite corners on the same floor of the department. Zeelenberg was from a blue-collar family; Stapel came from a more privileged background. Unlike most graduate students, he wore suits on occasion. Zeelenberg recalls him as being obnoxious and cocky at times, but only because “he did know things better.” He was also a “friendly, supportive warm guy,” Zeelenberg said. When Stapel and Marcelle decided to marry in 1997, Zeelenberg attended Stapel’s bachelor party on a boat ride along Amsterdam’s canals.

    Stapel stayed in Amsterdam for three years after his Ph.D., writing papers that he says got little attention. Nonetheless, his peers viewed him as having made a solid beginning as a researcher, and he won an award from the European Association of Experimental Social Psychology. In 2000, he became a professor at Groningen University.

    While there, Stapel began testing the idea that priming could affect people without their being aware of it. He devised several experiments in which subjects sat in front of a computer screen on which a word or an image was flashed for one-tenth of a second — making it difficult for the participants to register the images in their conscious minds. The subjects were then tested on a task to determine if the priming had an effect.

    In one experiment conducted with undergraduates recruited from his class, Stapel asked subjects to rate their individual attractiveness after they were flashed an image of either an attractive female face or a very unattractive one. The hypothesis was that subjects exposed to the attractive image would — through an automatic comparison — rate themselves as less attractive than subjects exposed to the other image.

    The experiment — and others like it — didn’t give Stapel the desired results, he said. He had the choice of abandoning the work or redoing the experiment. But he had already spent a lot of time on the research and was convinced his hypothesis was valid. “I said — you know what, I am going to create the data set,” he told me.

    Sitting at his kitchen table in Groningen, he began typing numbers into his laptop that would give him the outcome he wanted. He knew that the effect he was looking for had to be small in order to be believable; even the most successful psychology experiments rarely yield significant results. The math had to be done in reverse order: the individual attractiveness scores that subjects gave themselves on a 0-7 scale needed to be such that Stapel would get a small but significant difference in the average scores for each of the two conditions he was comparing. He made up individual scores like 4, 5, 3, 3 for subjects who were shown the attractive face. “I tried to make it random, which of course was very hard to do,” Stapel told me.

    Doing the analysis, Stapel at first ended up getting a bigger difference between the two conditions than was ideal. He went back and tweaked the numbers again. It took a few hours of trial and error, spread out over a few days, to get the data just right.

    He said he felt both terrible and relieved. The results were published in The Journal of Personality and Social Psychology in 2004. “I realized — hey, we can do this,” he told me.

    Stapel’s career took off. He published more than two dozen studies while at Groningen, many of them written with his doctoral students. They don’t appear to have questioned why their supervisor was running many of the experiments for them. Nor did his colleagues inquire about this unusual practice.

    In 2006, Stapel moved to Tilburg, joining Zeelenberg. Students flocked to his lab, and he quickly rose in influence. In September 2010, he became dean of the School of Social and Behavioral Sciences. He could have retreated from active research to focus on administration, but, he told me, he couldn’t resist the allure of fabricating new results. He had already made up the data for the Utrecht train-station study and was working on the paper that would appear in Science the following year. Colleagues sought him out to take part in new collaborations.

    Stapel designed one such study to test whether individuals are inclined to consume more when primed with the idea of capitalism. He and his research partner developed a questionnaire that subjects would have to fill out under two subtly different conditions. In one, an M&M-filled mug with the word “kapitalisme” printed on it would sit on the table in front of the subject; in the other, the mug’s word would be different, a jumble of the letters in “kapitalisme.” Although the questionnaire included questions relating to capitalism and consumption, like whether big cars are preferable to small ones, the study’s key measure was the amount of M&M’s eaten by the subject while answering these questions. (The experimental approach wasn’t novel; similar M&M studies had been done by others.) Stapel and his colleague hypothesized that subjects facing a mug printed with “kapitalisme” would end up eating more M&M’s.

    Stapel had a student arrange to get the mugs and M&M’s and later load them into his car along with a box of questionnaires. He then drove off, saying he was going to run the study at a high school in Rotterdam where a friend worked as a teacher.

    Stapel dumped most of the questionnaires into a trash bin outside campus. At home, using his own scale, he weighed a mug filled with M&M’s and sat down to simulate the experiment. While filling out the questionnaire, he ate the M&M’s at what he believed was a reasonable rate and then weighed the mug again to estimate the amount a subject could be expected to eat. He built the rest of the data set around that number. He told me he gave away some of the M&M stash and ate a lot of it himself. “I was the only subject in these studies,” he said.

    Around the same time that Stapel was planning this study — which would not end up being published — he was approached by another colleague of his at Tilburg, Ad Vingerhoets, who asked Stapel to help him design a study to understand whether exposure to someone crying affects empathy. Stapel came up with what Vingerhoets told me was an “excellent idea.” They would give elementary-school children a coloring task in which half the kids would be asked to color an inexpressive cartoon character, while the other half would have to color the same character shown shedding a tear. Upon completing the task, the children would receive candy and then be asked if they were willing to share the candy with other children — a measure of pro-social behavior.

    Stapel and Vingerhoets worked together with a research assistant to prepare the coloring pages and the questionnaires. Stapel told Vingerhoets that he would collect the data from a school where he had contacts. A few weeks later, he called Vingerhoets to his office and showed him the results, scribbled on a sheet of paper. Vingerhoets was delighted to see a significant difference between the two conditions, indicating that children exposed to a teary-eyed picture were much more willing to share candy. It was sure to result in a high-profile publication. “I said, ‘This is so fantastic, so incredible,’ ” Vingerhoets told me.

    He began writing the paper, but then he wondered if the data had shown any difference between girls and boys. “What about gender differences?” he asked Stapel, requesting to see the data. Stapel told him the data hadn’t been entered into a computer yet.

    Vingerhoets was stumped. Stapel had shown him means and standard deviations and even a statistical index attesting to the reliability of the questionnaire, which would have seemed to require a computer to produce. Vingerhoets wondered if Stapel, as dean, was somehow testing him. Suspecting fraud, he consulted a retired professor to figure out what to do. “Do you really believe that someone with [Stapel’s] status faked data?” the professor asked him.

    “At that moment,” Vingerhoets told me, “I decided that I would not report it to the rector.”

    If Stapel’s status served as a shield, his confidence fortified him further. His presentations at conferences were slick and peppered with humor. He viewed himself as giving his audience what they craved: “structure, simplicity, a beautiful story.” Stapel glossed over experimental details, projecting the air of a thinker who has no patience for methods. The tone of his talks, he said, was “Let’s not talk about the plumbing, the nuts and bolts — that’s for plumbers, for statisticians.” If somebody asked a question — on the possible effect of changing a condition in the experiment, for example — he made things up on the spot. “I would often say, ‘Well, I have thought about this, we did another experiment which I haven’t reported here in which we tried that and it didn’t work.’ ”

    And yet as part of a graduate seminar he taught on research ethics, Stapel would ask his students to dig back into their own research and look for things that might have been unethical. “They got back with terrible lapses­,” he told me. “No informed consent, no debriefing of subjects, then of course in data analysis, looking only at some data and not all the data.” He didn’t see the same problems in his own work, he said, because there were no real data to contend with.

    Rumors of fraud trailed Stapel from Groningen to Tilburg, but none raised enough suspicion to prompt investigation. Stapel’s atypical practice of collecting data for his graduate students wasn’t questioned, either. Then, in the spring of 2010, a graduate student noticed anomalies in three experiments Stapel had run for him. When asked for the raw data, Stapel initially said he no longer had it. Later that year, shortly after Stapel became dean, the student mentioned his concerns to a young professor at the university gym. Each of them spoke to me but requested anonymity because they worried their careers would be damaged if they were identified.

    The professor, who had been hired recently, began attending Stapel’s lab meetings. He was struck by how great the data looked, no matter the experiment. “I don’t know that I ever saw that a study failed, which is highly unusual,” he told me. “Even the best people, in my experience, have studies that fail constantly. Usually, half don’t work.”

    The professor approached Stapel to team up on a research project, with the intent of getting a closer look at how he worked. “I wanted to kind of play around with one of these amazing data sets,” he told me. The two of them designed studies to test the premise that reminding people of the financial crisis makes them more likely to act generously.

    In early February, Stapel claimed he had run the studies. “Everything worked really well,” the professor told me wryly. Stapel claimed there was a statistical relationship between awareness of the financial crisis and generosity. But when the professor looked at the data, he discovered inconsistencies confirming his suspicions that Stapel was engaging in fraud.

    The professor consulted a senior colleague in the United States, who told him he shouldn’t feel any obligation to report the matter. But the person who alerted the young professor, along with another graduate student, refused to let it go. That spring, the other graduate student examined a number of data sets that Stapel had supplied to students and postdocs in recent years, many of which led to papers and dissertations. She found a host of anomalies, the smoking gun being a data set in which Stapel appeared to have done a copy-paste job, leaving two rows of data nearly identical to each other.

    The two students decided to report the charges to the department head, Marcel Zeelenberg. But they worried that Zeelenberg, Stapel’s friend, might come to his defense. To sound him out, one of the students made up a scenario about a professor who committed academic fraud, and asked Zeelenberg what he thought about the situation, without telling him it was hypothetical. “They should hang him from the highest tree” if the allegations were true, was Zeelenberg’s response, according to the student.

    The students waited till the end of summer, when they would be at a conference with Zeelenberg in London. “We decided we should tell Marcel at the conference so that he couldn’t storm out and go to Diederik right away,” one of the students told me.

    In London, the students met with Zeelenberg after dinner in the dorm where they were staying. As the night wore on, his initial skepticism turned into shock. It was nearly 3 when Zeelenberg finished his last beer and walked back to his room in a daze. In Tilburg that weekend, he confronted Stapel.

    After his visit to the Utrecht train station on the day he was questioned by the rector, Stapel got home around midnight. His wife, Marcelle, was waiting for him in the living room, but he didn’t tell the whole truth until the next day. “Eight or 10 years of my life suddenly had another color,” Marcelle told me one evening in November, when Stapel left us alone to talk.

    The following week, as university officials were preparing to make the charges public, the couple sat down to explain matters to their daughters. “Are you going to die?” the girls asked, followed by questions about two other issues fundamental to their lives: “Are you getting divorced?” “Are we going to move?” “No,” Marcelle answered. The girls were relieved. “Well, Daddy,” their younger daughter said. “You always say that you can make mistakes, but you have to learn from it.”

    Marcelle described to me how she placed Stapel inside an integrity scanner in her mind. “I sort of scanned his life in terms of being a father, being my husband, being my best friend, being the son of his parents, the friend of his friends, being a human being that is part of society, being a neighbor — and being a scientist and teacher,” she told me. “Then I found out for myself that all of these other parts were really O.K. I thought — Wow, it must be Diederik and science which is a poisoned combination.”

    Nonetheless, she experienced waves of anger. She was furious thinking about the nights when Stapel wouldn’t come to bed because he was working on his research. “I said, ‘It’s for science,’ ” she told me. “But it’s not.” She struggled to understand why he had plied his students with fake data. She explained it to herself as a twisted effort by Stapel to give his students a perfect research life, similar to the one he built for himself. In doing so, of course, “he made their worlds really unhappy and imperfect,” she said.

    In late October, nearly two months after the scandal broke, the university issued an interim report portraying Stapel as an arrogant bully who cozied up to students in order to manipulate them. Stapel broke down after reading the personality assessment. “He was calling for his mother, he was freaking out,” Marcelle told me. “He was trying to get out of the window.” Stapel’s psychiatrist prescribed extra medication, and a friend made him promise Marcelle that he would not kill himself. To escape the media’s glare, he went to spend a few days with his brother in Budapest.

    Back in Tilburg, Stapel sank into a deep depression. Through the winter he filled a series of Moleskine diaries with reflections on his life. It was an accounting exercise encouraged by his therapist. Forgiven by his wife, Stapel wondered if he would ever be forgiven by those he had damaged the most — his students and postdocs.

    A few reached out. One day in December 2011, Saskia Schwinghammer, a former student and now a researcher at the University of Applied Sciences in Utrecht, visited him at his home. Stapel wept as he apologized. He reminded her that she and other students were in no way to blame, that they did not have to feel they should have been more discerning when accepting data from him. “You came up with these ideas,” Stapel told her. “You designed the studies. I took away one little thing from the process. Don’t let people think that you’re worthless because you worked with me.”

    Schwinghammer left teary-eyed. “It was good to have seen you,” she said. A year later, she told me she had forgiven the man but not his actions. “There are good people doing bad things,” she said, “there are bad people doing good things.” She put Stapel in the former category.

    At the end of November, the universities unveiled their final report at a joint news conference: Stapel had committed fraud in at least 55 of his papers, as well as in 10 Ph.D. dissertations written by his students. The students were not culpable, even though their work was now tarnished. The field of psychology was indicted, too, with a finding that Stapel’s fraud went undetected for so long because of “a general culture of careless, selective and uncritical handling of research and data.” If Stapel was solely to blame for making stuff up, the report stated, his peers, journal editors and reviewers of the field’s top journals were to blame for letting him get away with it. The committees identified several practices as “sloppy science” — misuse of statistics, ignoring of data that do not conform to a desired hypothesis and the pursuit of a compelling story no matter how scientifically unsupported it may be.

    The adjective “sloppy” seems charitable. Several psychologists I spoke to admitted that each of these more common practices was as deliberate as any of Stapel’s wholesale fabrications. Each was a choice made by the scientist every time he or she came to a fork in the road of experimental research — one way pointing to the truth, however dull and unsatisfying, and the other beckoning the researcher toward a rosier and more notable result that could be patently false or only partly true. What may be most troubling about the research culture the committees describe in their report are the plentiful opportunities and incentives for fraud. “The cookie jar was on the table without a lid” is how Stapel put it to me once. Those who suspect a colleague of fraud may be inclined to keep mum because of the potential costs of whistle-blowing.

    The key to why Stapel got away with his fabrications for so long lies in his keen understanding of the sociology of his field. “I didn’t do strange stuff, I never said let’s do an experiment to show that the earth is flat,” he said. “I always checked — this may be by a cunning manipulative mind — that the experiment was reasonable, that it followed from the research that had come before, that it was just this extra step that everybody was waiting for.” He always read the research literature extensively to generate his hypotheses. “So that it was believable and could be argued that this was the only logical thing you would find,” he said. “Everybody wants you to be novel and creative, but you also need to be truthful and likely. You need to be able to say that this is completely new and exciting, but it’s very likely given what we know so far.”

    Fraud like Stapel’s — brazen and careless in hindsight — might represent a lesser threat to the integrity of science than the massaging of data and selective reporting of experiments. The young professor who backed the two student whistle-blowers told me that tweaking results — like stopping data collection once the results confirm a hypothesis — is a common practice. “I could certainly see that if you do it in more subtle ways, it’s more difficult to detect,” Ap Dijksterhuis, one of the Netherlands’ best known psychologists, told me. He added that the field was making a sustained effort to remedy the problems that have been brought to light by Stapel’s fraud.

    When Stapel’s book came out, it got a mixed reception from critics, and it angered many in the Netherlands who thought it dishonorable of him to try to profit from his misdeeds. Within days of its release, the book appeared online in the form of PDFs, posted by those who wanted to damage his chances of making money. Unlike Schwinghammer and a few others, most of his former students have not responded to his apologies. Late last year, the Dutch government said it was investigating whether Stapel misused public funds in the form of research grants.

    I asked Zeelenberg how he felt toward Stapel a year and a half after reporting him to the rector. He told me that he found himself wanting to take a longer route to the grocery store to avoid walking past Stapel’s house, lest he run into him. “When this is all over, I would like to talk to him,” Zeelenberg said. “Then I’ll find out if he and I are capable of having a friendship. I miss him, but there are equal amounts of instances when I want to punch him in the face.”

    The unspooling of Stapel’s career has given him what he managed to avoid for much of his life: the experience of failure. On our visit to Stapel’s parents, I watched his discomfort as Rob and Dirkje tried to defend him. “I blame the system,” his father said, steadfast. His argument was that Stapel’s university managers and journal editors should have been watching him more closely.

    Stapel shook his head. “Accept that this happened,” he said. He seemed to be talking as much to himself as to his parents. “You cannot say it is because of the system. It is what it is, and you need to accept it.” When Rob and Dirkje kept up their defense, he gave them a weak smile. “You are trying to make the pain go away by saying this is not part of me,” he said. “But what we need to learn is that this happened. I did it. There were many circumstantial things, but I did it.”

     

    Yudhijit Bhattacharjee is a staff writer at Science magazine and a contributor to Wired, Discover and other publications.

    Editor: Dean Robinson

    Koos Breukel for The New York Times

    Diederik Stapel, a Dutch social psychologist, perpetrated an audacious academic fraud by making up studies that told the world what it wanted to hear about human nature.

     

     
  • The Dark Side of Diversity

    By Patrick J. Buchanan

    “I do not know the method of drawing up an indictment against a whole people,” said Edmund Burke of the rebellious Americans.

    The same holds true of Islam, the majority faith of 49 nations from Morocco to Indonesia, a religion that 1.6 billion people profess.

    Yet, some assertions appear true.

    Islam is growing in militancy and intolerance, evolving again into a fighting faith, and spreading not only through proselytizing, but violence.

    How to justify the charge of intolerance?

    The Taliban blew up the Bamiyan Buddhas. The Sufi shrines of Timbuktu were blown up by Ansar Dine. In Saudi Arabia, Iran and Afghanistan, Christian converts face the death sentence.

    In Nigeria, the Boko Haram attacks churches and kills Christians, as in Ethiopia and the Sudan, where the south seceded over the persecution.

    Egyptian Copts are under siege. Assyrian and Chaldean Christians in Iraq have seen churches pillaged, priests murdered. In Indonesia, churches are being shut on the demand of Islamists. Sharia law is being demanded by militants across the Middle East, as Christianity is exterminated in its cradle.

    Has Islam become again a fighting faith?

    Chechnya, Dagestan and Ingushetia are the sites of Islamist uprisings using terror to rip these statelets from Russia. Muslim Uighurs are fighting to tear off a chunk of China and create an East Turkestan. Muslim Malays in south Thailand have fought a decade-long war of secession. Albania has acquired two sister Muslim states in Europe, Bosnia and Kosovo, both born in blood.

    “Islam has bloody borders,” wrote the late Samuel Huntington. They are bloodier today.

    At the time of 9/11, al-Qaida seemed confined to Afghanistan. Al-Qaida may now be found in the Maghreb, Mali, Iraq and Yemen. Its Syrian auxiliary, the al-Nusra Front, is dominant in the anti-Assad rebellion.

    Since Y2K, Islamists have perpetrated massacres in Mumbai, Madrid, London, Moscow, Beslan and Boston. Osama bin Laden appears no longer as popular as he once was, yet tens of millions worldwide still admire him. Why?

    Islamism can also call upon true believers prepared to die for the cause. No other faith produces so many suicide bombers.

    Muslims counter-argue that America has killed many more noncombatants, in Iraq, and Afghanistan and Pakistan with drone strikes.

    What right, they ask, did we have to attack Iraq? Did we not ourselves stir up the nest of hornets that stung us in Boston?

    Yet there is another reality.

    While the clash of cultures widens between the West and Islam, leaders in the Muslim world can be found working with the United States against their own extremists.

    Jihadists are by no means a majority in the Islamic world, where they are also feared and hated. And in the West, they are but a fraction of our Muslim communities.

    The crisis: Even a tiny minority of terrorists like the Tsarnaevs can so inflame tensions between the West and the Muslim world they can bring our two civilizations into conflict. Would we have fought those wars in Iraq and Afghanistan without the atrocity of 9/11?

    What are the goals of the jihadists?

    Expulsion of Christians and infidels from the Dar al-Islam, the house of Islam. Expulsion of the American Crusaders. Overthrow of Muslim rulers who collude with the Great Satan. Annihilation of Israel. Infiltration of the homelands of a decadent, dying West. Death to all who insult the Prophet.

    Ultimate goal: Bring the world to acknowledge and act on the truth that there is no God but Allah and Muhammad is his Prophet.

    And while the Islamic world remains far inferior in technology and manufacturing and military power, Muslim peoples are far more numerous and devout. With a fourth of mankind, their birth rate is higher and their numbers soaring, along with their militancy at home and in the diaspora.

    In population and territory, the West is shrinking, while our Muslim minorities are growing and becoming more assertive in their demands.

    “No army can withstand the strength of an idea whose time has come,” said Victor Hugo. Many in the Muslim world believe that as the Christian West dominated for 500 years, their time has come.

    How do we deal with this irreconcilable conflict between a secular West and a resurgent Islam?

    First, as it is our presence in their world that enrages so many, we should end our interventions, shut down the empire and let Muslim rulers deal with Muslim radicals.

    Second, we need a moratorium on immigration from the Islamic world. Inevitably, some of the young we bring in, like the Tsarnaevs, will yield to radicalization and seek to strike a blow for Islam against us.

    What benefit do we derive as a people to justify the risks we take by opening up America to mass migration from a world aflame with hatred and hostility over race, ethnicity, culture, history and faith?

    Why are we bringing all of the world’s quarrelsome minorities, and all the world’s quarrels with them, into our home?

    What we saw in Boston was the dark side of diversity.

     

    © Copyright 1997-2013. All Rights Reserved. WND.com.
    Read more at http://www.wnd.com/2013/04/the-dark-side-of-diversity/#2tPk6SLJz6vwLSxb.99

  • Officials still don’t know what caused Texas fertilizer explosion

    Eleanor Castro, 76, was taking a shower at her home in West, Texas, when a massive explosion a mile and half away spun her around and knocked out power in her house.

    By Daniel Arkin and Gabe Gutierrez, NBC News

    Investigators have located the spot where the horrific Central Texas fertilizer plant explosion occurred but do not yet know what triggered the deadly blast, town officials said Sunday.

    West, Texas, fire officials said at a news briefing that there is no evidence of criminal activity in last Wednesday’s massive explosion at the West Fertilizer Co., and that there are no longer any fires burning at or around the decimated facility.

    The blast rocked the town of West just before 8 p.m. local time Wednesday. At least 14 were killed, 200 injured, and scores of nearby homes and businesses damaged or destroyed in one of the worst American industrial accidents in years.

    A fire official announced the city has identified the “seat” — origin — of the explosion, but did not specify the exact site.

     

     

    “We do have a large crater,” Assistant State Fire Marshal Kelly Kistner said.

    Fire officials also announced plans for a memorial service at Baylor University in Waco, Tex., on Thursday, in honor of the volunteer firefighters who died in the explosion.

    “It hits close to home for us all,” said Joe Ondrasek, an executive board member of the Texas Line of Duty Task Force.

    At Sunday’s briefing, officials read statements by some of the families who lost loved ones.

    Wendy Norris, director of the Texas line of duty death task force, read a statement on behalf of the family of brothers Doug and Robert Snokhous, recalling the volunteer firefighters’ close bond. “They were always together, and we were comforted that they were together in the end,” she said.

    Five volunteer firefighters and four emergency services workers are among the dead, Sgt. Jason Reyes Reyes said on Friday.

    Michael Ainsworth / The Dallas Morning News via AP

    Workers stand amid debris Sunday, four days after an explosion at a fertilizer plant in West, Texas. killed 14 people and injured 200 others.

    NBC News’ Marian Smith, Elizabeth Chuck and Becky Bratu contributed to this report.

     

    Related:

     

     

    Copyright © 2013 NBCNews.com All Rights Reserved

     
  • How the Boston shutdown quietly affected the working poor

    How the Boston shutdown quietly affected the working poorEnlargeAn MBTA transit official closes a door at Malden Center station in Malden, Mass. (Credit: AP/Elise Amendola)

    As Boston became a ghost town Friday, most of the city’s residents stayed home from work and got a unexpected day off. Most, but not all. While Starbucks and Subways shuttered, select Dunkin’ Donuts stayed open at the requests of law enforcement, earning deserved praise for the Boston-based chain. But while the chain was “encouraging our guests to stay home today,” somebody had to come in to make the Dunkaccinos for the police officers, namely the low-wage workers who staff the stores.

    And while they may have been happy to do come in despite the potential danger, eager to play whatever small part they could in the manhunt for someone who terrorized Boston, labor leaders say the case highlights how the bombing and its aftermath has affected workers in the Boston area this week.

    “Most low wage workers can’t afford to lose a day’s pay, and there’s no doubt this lockdown will adversely impact the city’s working poor,” said Jessica Kutch, a labor activist who co-founded the organizing site coworker.org, in an email to Salon. “I’d really like to see employers state on the record that their hourly workers will be paid for the time they were scheduled to work today — but I suspect that most employers will place the burden of this shutdown squarely on the backs of people who can least afford it.”

    Some workers may be forced to use their paid time off or vacation time for Friday, labor activists fear. An employee of Boston Children’s Hospital tweeted that HR was requiring employees to use their vacation time during the lockdown, but eventually backed down some internal pushback.

    Meanwhile, even those with the protections of collective bargaining contracts have been strained this week.

    Brian Lang, the President of UNITE HERE Local 26, told Salon that many of the hotel workers he represents have been working double shifts with little time off as the many of the guests have been unable to leave the city. Police from out of town have completely occupied some hotels, while authorities set up a command center at the Westin downtown, just blocks from the bombing.

    “Those hotels were full of people all week, so our members in there were like the second responders,” Lang said. “There were the first responders who aided the people who were directly affected by the bombings, but many of the folks who were affected were from out of town and they were staying at these hotels. They were exhausted, they were traumatized, and it was the hotel workers who comforted them, fed them, who made sure they had clean, safe rooms to say in.”

    One of the three victims who died was actually the daughter of a member of Local 26, who works in the Harvard University dining hall.

    Meanwhile, the first responders themselves have been working around the clock, with nurses pulling 20 hour-shifts, Steven Tolman, the president of the Massachusetts AFL-CIO told Salon. “They’re doing God’s work,” he said. “They’re exhausted, they’ve been working constantly. The heroism of the people who were there and saw things that they never thought they’d see in their life is just incredible.”

    “It’s justification why public employees are entitled to a decent pension and the best healthcare because they put so much on the line in a time of need,” he said.

    Alex Seitz-Wald

    Alex Seitz-Wald is Salon’s political reporter. Email him at aseitz-wald@salon.com, and follow him on Twitter @aseitzwald.MORE ALEX SEITZ-WALD.

  •  

    Great Statue at Las Vegas McCarran International Airport, Las Vegas. Nevada April 21, 2013

  • With the arrival of millions of Latinos in recent decades, there have been multiple reasons to wonder if they would assimilate and thrive — including legitimate economic issues that go well beyond ethnic stereotypes. Unlike previous generations of immigrants, today’s can remain in daily telephone and video contact with their homeland. And unlike those in the past, today’s immigrants face legal obstacles, and their pathway to a middle-class life involves college tuition. A decade ago, the political scientist Samuel P. Huntington described the newfound issues with assimilation as simply the “Hispanic challenge.”

    Yet as the Senate begins to debate a major immigration bill, we already know a great deal about how Latinos are faring with that challenge: they’re meeting it, by and large. Whatever Washington does in coming months, a wealth of data suggests that Latinos, who make up fully half of the immigration wave of the past century, are already following the classic pattern for American immigrants.

    They have arrived in this country in great numbers, most of them poor, ill educated and, in important respects, different from native-born Americans. The children of immigrants, however, become richer and better educated than their parents and overwhelmingly speak English. The grandchildren look ever more American.

    “These fears about immigrants have been voiced many times in American history, and they’ve never proven true,” Alan M. Kraut, a history professor at American University, in Washington, told me. “It doesn’t happen immediately, but everything with Latinos points to a very typical pattern of integration in American life in a generation or two.”

     
     
    Copyright. 2013 The New York Times Company. All Rights Reserved
  • Clay Shirky Says NSFWCORP Has Unlimited Cash. Great! Now We’re Screwed

    Clay Shirky Says NSFWCORP Has Unlimited Cash. Great! Now We’re Screwed

    paulcarrBY  
    ON APRIL 20, 2013

     

    scroogeA few days ago, in an interview to promote his (genuinely excellent) co-written study/manifesto on “Post-Industrial Journalism“, Clay Shirky had this to say about me, and NSFWCORP…

    “You get a lot of people saying that their model is the best and that everyone else has got it wrong. Or they are unwilling to admit what exactly their business model is. Take Paul Carr – I disagree with much of the content of his work, but he’s just a brilliant writer: He never says that nsfwcorp is bankrolled by Tony Hsieh. He doesn’t go out and say, ‘my organization works because a millionaire thinks I’m great and other newspapers cannot necessarily replicate that.’”

    I can’t tell you how grateful I am to Clay Shirky for saying those words. Not just the kind ones about my writing (although, in point of fact, Clay, I’m not just a brilliant writer. I also cook a mean beef stroganoff) — but also for setting my mind at ease, apropos the Future of Journalism (With Jokes).

    To think, for the past few months, I’ve lived the constant near-panic of a start-up founder: obsessing over cash flow spreadsheets (which I update sometimes a dozen times a day), tweaking and re-tweaking freelance budgets, agonizing over healthcare options and waking in the middle of the night from nightmares of having to close down the entire company because of some miscalculation I’ve made during commissioning or hiring.

    And all for nothing! Because everything is totally fine. Thanks to our millionaire benefactor, Scrooge McHsieh (John D Hsiehafeller? Bill McHsiehates?), I can rip up those cashflow forecasts, tear down our paywall and pour the team another pint of Krug 1928. Happy days are here the fuck again.

    Careful readers will have detected my sarcasm in the lines above. I wonder, though, if my anger and frustration are coming through clearly enough?

    In just a few smug words, Clay Shirky, one of our most respected media commentators, dismisses the entire business model of NSFWCORP — our paywall, our print edition, our ebooks, Conflict Tower — as a gimmick, a fig leaf to distract from the comfortable reality: that NSFWCORP is nothing more than a rich man’s plaything. We’re not the future of anything, we’ve solved nothing. At best, we’re lucky; at worst, frauds.

    That’s just the kind of cuttin’-through-the-bullshit tellin’-it-like-it-is statement for which Shirky is famous, and for which institutions like Columbia and NYU keep cutting him checks. And, by happy coincidence, it allows Shirky to neatly slot NSFWCORP into the broader premise of his report: that no-one has yet figured out a viable business model for journalism in the Internet era. But maybe — just maybe — if we follow Clay Shirky’s advice then one day we might. (There’s actually a name for institutions — media pundits, say — trying to preserve the problem to which they are the solution. It’s called the Shirky Principle.)

    Few people are better informed on the collision of media and technology as Clay Shirky, even if he is a little obsessed with the idea that EVERYTHING HAS CHANGED. Likewise, he’s absolutely entitled to have his doubts about the viability of NSFWCORP. God knows, I share many of them (more on that in a moment). But there’s just one problem with his demand that I acknowledge his description of our financial position.

    It isn’t true.

    In fact, it’s embarrassingly, infuriatingly, dangerously wrong.

    Shirky says I should be honest about how NSFWCORP works, that I should “go out” and explain how the company is financed and what exactly our business model is. Well alrighty then….

    NSFWCORP has raised a total of $640k from three investors, including Tony Hsieh’s Vegas Tech Fund (VTF), all of whom invested on exactly the same terms, as covertible debt. VTF is by far the largest investor, responsible for $600k of that total (the other $40k came from CrunchFund and Judith Clegg. It’s all disclosed here.) VTF’s $600k takes us right up to the maximum amount the fund invests in startups, and the fund’s partners have made absolutely clear: that’s it. Indeed, when I last saw Tony and asked for advice on future funding, his advice was that we shouldn’t raise any money if we can avoid it but if we did need to, he could introduce us to another possible investor. That’s it. There is no more money coming from Tony or Vegas Tech Fund. We are not “bankrolled” by anyone, except in the same way as any other company that has ever raised a seed round.

    (Another important point, and I mean this as a positive thing: since we started publishing I have not once had a conversation with Tony about the content of NSFWCORP. In that regard, he is absolutely the perfect media investor.)

    How am I doing so far, Clay? Honesty-wise?

    Great! Let’s go on…

    NSFWCORP was founded with two goals: 1) to create a brilliant news magazine (with jokes) and 2) to prove that it is still possible to build an innovative, independently profitable journalistic organisation: one that treats its journalists well, allowing them to produce great work which readers are willing (eager even) to pay for.

    Journalistically, I think we’re doing pretty great. Earlier this week, the chancellor of Appalachian State resigned, just days after we published David Forbes’ exposé on how the university covers up rape and sexual assault by athletes. On Wednesday, NSFWCORP’s Yasha Levine broke the story of how California parents are being “empowered” by billionaires to destroy public education. Our first print edition featured Mark Ames’ first-hand account of being spied on by the ADL — the same issue in which we published the definitive list of the 100 people most culpable for misinforming the public in the run up the Iraq war.

    How about innovation? Our entire publishing platform was built in-house, including our paywall that allows subscribers to “unlock” paid content for outside sharing. We’ve launched “Desknotes”, allowing subscribers to eavesdrop on our internal editorial discussions, and Conflict Tower to ensure transparency for everything we do. We’ve launched a nightly radio show and a monthly print edition. And that’s just the start: our product road map reaches from here to the moon.

    Financially — well, I wish we had a millionaire benefactor. To put our funding in perspective, the total amount raised (converted to 2013 dollars) would barely cover the New York Times’ weekly payroll in 1916, or the cost of producing a single issue of Scanlan’s in 1970.

    And yet… our entire business is perilously close to breaking even, thanks to the thousands of people who have signed up for monthly subscriptions ($3 for web / $7 for web and print) or our Conflict Towers membership program. (Conflict Towers “residents” can buy a virtual room for anywhere between $3 and $1500 to support our work. Residents get a lifetime subscription to web and print and a public profile on the site. Starting this summer, we’re hosting a series of Future Of… dinner parties for Conflict Tower residents and their guests, in cities across the US and internationally. Buy a damn room already.)

    This month, even after paying good salaries to our reporters, paying the hilariously high travel costs required for serious reporting, finally setting up a healthcare plan for full-time staffers andexpanding into print, our burn rate will drop to under $25k. Three months ago it was three times that high. We only need to sell 4000 more print subscriptions, or a dozen or so more floors in Conflict Tower, and we’ll break even.

    That — that, Clay — is the honest truth about NSFWCORP’s business. We, like every other publication since the beginning of time, have raised a relatively modest amount of start-up capital, mostly from a fund in which Tony Hsieh is a partner. But what we’ve built with that start-up cash is a real, fiercely independent journalistic enterprise, delivering scoop after scoop (with jokes) for a growing audience across multiple platforms (while, by the way, solving the problem of porous paywalls, and proving that print isn’t dead).

    So all of the above is why Clay Shirky’s comments make me feel like being sarcastic. Now here’s why they make me feel frustrated, and angry…

    As founder and editor in chief, I am terrified, TERRIFIED of fucking this up. The closer we get to profitability, the more terrified I get. We are so close to pulling this off. So close to proving that it is possible to pay brilliant journalists a good salary (with full benefits) to do great work, in a profitable, sustainable way. And yet, with no immediate prospect of raising more money (I mean, what? Is now a good time to ask Mike Arrington for more cash?), I’m acutely aware that we’re going to take this right down to the wire.

    All it takes is one unexpected expense — a rise in print costs, a story that goes over budget, or any one of a thousand other calamities that I failed to account for — and I’ll have to close the doors and lay off the best team of people I’ve ever worked with, all of whom risked their careers to help prove that great journalism has a profitable future.

    It’ll only take a few thousand more subscribers for us to reach profitability, but it only needs a similar number to think “oh, NSFWCORP doesn’t need my support right now… they have their own pet millionaire” in order to doom us. With the stakes that high, Clay Shirky’s blithe, inaccurate claims could become the precise opposite of a self-fulfilling prophesy.

    So, Clay, maybe next time you smack me and my business in the face with a velvet-wrapped two-by-four, you could at least pick up the phone first to check that we’re really as rich as you think we are.

    Or better yet, buy a Conflict Tower room and you can ask me in person at one of our residents’ Dinner Parties. Appropriately enough, the first one is themed around The Future Of Journalism. I suspect we’ll have a lot to talk about.

    [Illustration by Brad Jonas, NSFWCORP]

     

    paulcarr

    Paul Carr is author of “The Upgrade: A Cautionary Tale of a Life Without Reservations” and “Bringing Nothing to the Party: True Confessions of a New Media Whore”. He has written for a variety of publications, including The Guardian, and TechCrunch. He is the founder of NSFW Corporation.

     
     
    Copyright ©2013 - PandoDaily All Rights Reserved

  • 2013 Formula 1 Grand Prix Calendar

    2013 Formula 1 calendar

    Details of all 19 grands prix on the 2013 Formula 1 calendar…

    Australian Grand Prix

    Australian Grand Prix

    Melbourne, 15-17 March

    Live on BBC Radio 5 live, highlights on BBC TV and live text commentary online

    2013 race report

    More on the Australian GP 

    Malaysian Grand Prix

    Malaysian Grand Prix

    Sepang, 22-24 March

    Live on BBC Radio 5 live, highlights on BBC TV and live text commentary online

    2013 race report

    More on the Malaysian GP 

    Chinese Grand Prix

    Chinese Grand Prix

    Shanghai, 12-14 April

    Live on BBC TV and BBC Radio 5 live plus live text commentary online

    2013 race report

    More on the Chinese GP 

    Bahrain Grand Prix

    Bahrain Grand Prix

    Sakhir, 19-21 April

    Live on BBC Radio 5 live, highlights on BBC TV and live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the Bahrain GP 

    Spanish Grand Prix

    Spanish Grand Prix

    Circuit de Catalunya, 10-12 May

    Live on BBC TV and BBC Radio 5 live plus live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the Spanish GP 

    Monaco Grand Prix

    Monaco Grand Prix

    Monaco, 24-26 May

    Live on BBC Radio 5 live, highlights on BBC TV and live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the Monaco GP 

    Canadian Grand Prix

    Canadian Grand Prix

    Montreal, 7-9 June

    Live on BBC TV and BBC Radio 5 live plus live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the Canadian GP 

    British Grand Prix

    British Grand Prix

    Silverstone, 28-30 June

    Live on BBC TV and BBC Radio 5 live plus live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the British GP 

    German Grand Prix

    Nurburgring

    Nurburgring, 5-7 July

    Live on BBC Radio 5 live, highlights on BBC TV and live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the German GP 

    Hungarian Grand Prix

    Hungarian Grand Prix

    Hungaroring, 26-28 July

    Live on BBC Radio 5 live, highlights on BBC TV and live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the Hungarian GP 

    Belgian Grand Prix

    Belgian Grand Prix

    Spa-Francorchamps, 23-25 August

    Live on BBC TV and BBC Radio 5 live plus live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the Belgian GP 

    Italian Grand Prix

    Italian Grand Prix

    Monza, 6-8 September

    Live on BBC TV and BBC Radio 5 live plus live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the Italian GP 

    Singapore Grand Prix

    Singapore Grand Prix

    Singapore, 20-22 September

    Live on BBC Radio 5 live, highlights on BBC TV and live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the Singapore GP 

    Korean Grand Prix

    Korean Grand Prix

    Yeongam, 4-6 October

    Live on BBC Radio 5 live, highlights on BBC TV and live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the South Korean GP 

    Japanese Grand Prix

    Japanese Grand Prix

    Suzuka, 11-13 October

    Live on BBC TV and BBC Radio 5 live plus live text commentary online

    2012 race report

    More on the Japanese GP 

    Indian Grand Prix

    Indian Grand Prix

    New Delhi, 25-27 October

    Live on BBC TV and BBC Radio 5 live plus live text commentary online

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  • Bahrain GP: Sebastian Vettel dominates to take win for Red Bull

    Bahrain GP: Sebastian Vettel dominates to take win for Red Bull

    By Andrew Benson
    Chief F1 writer in Bahrain
    Comments (10)
    Red Bull’s Sebastian Vettel took his second win in four races this year as he dominated the Bahrain Grand Prix.
    The world champion headed Lotus drivers Kimi Raikkonen and Romain Grosjean, who denied Paul di Resta a first career podium in the closing laps.
    The Scot had, like Raikkonen, done one fewer pit stops than the other leading runners but could not hold Grosjean.
    Lewis Hamilton took fifth for Mercedes as Fernando Alonso rescued eighth after suffering a DRS overtaking aid failure.
    There were close on-track battles and plenty of overtaking between a number of drivers, including a bad-tempered tussle between McLaren’s Jenson Button and Sergio Perez, but Vettel was in a league of his own.

    The car was great. I could push every single lap and look after the tyres

    Sebastian Vettel
    Red Bull
    “[It was a] faultless, seamless race from start to finish,” said Vettel. “I knew it was crucial to get into the lead and look after the tyres, the pace was phenomenal, the car was great. I could push every single lap and look after the tyres.
    “I lost out to Fernando at the first corner, but I could get him back. I saved some Kers and could out-accelerate him into Turn Six. Out of Turn four I did the same on Nico, a little bit of Kers and got him into Turn Five.”
    “[It was] incredible the pace we had today, we surely did not expect that.”
    His win extends his lead over Raikkonen in the championship to 10 points, with Hamilton third a further 13 behind and Alonso fourth, 30 behind Vettel.
    The German held off a challenge from Alonso on the opening lap, losing out through Turns One and Two before re-passing the Ferrari with a brave move around the outside into Turn Five.
    He then passed pole-winner Nico Rosberg’s Mercedes, skilfully around the outside of Turn Five into Turn Six and drove away into a race of his own, making three stops on his way to a third consecutive victory in Bahrain.
    Behind him, Raikkonen used a two-stop strategy to move up to from eighth on the grid to take second, while Grosjean, making three stops, passed Di Resta for third with six laps to go.
    Past Bahrain GP winners
    2004 Michael Schumacher – Ferrari
    2005 Fernando Alonso – Renault
    2006 Fernando Alonso – Renault
    2007 Felipe Massa – Ferrari
    2008 Felipe Massa – Ferrari
    2009 Jenson Button – Brawn
    2010 Fernando Alonso – Ferrari
    2011 Race not held
    2012 Sebastian Vettel – Red Bull
    2013 Sebastian Vettel – Red Bull
    “Yesterday wasn’t ideal so we’d planned on Friday to try a two-stop and today it worked well,” said Raikkonen of Lotus’s recovery. “I didn’t have a strong first and second laps but after the first stop I was able to come back stronger so we had a good race in the end.”
    Behind them there was a Titanic race-long fight involving Mark Webber, Lewis Hamilton, Perez, Alonso, Nico Rosberg and Button, as their strategies brought various combinations of drivers together on track at various points of the race.
    In the closing laps, Webber and Hamilton battled hard for fifth place, with Hamilton passing the Red Bull into Turn One at the start of the final lap to take fifth.
    Webber then lost another place to Perez in the course of the last lap as Alonso took eighth ahead of Rosberg and Button.
    Alonso – who had been without the use of the DRS since it failed on lap seven – just lost out in a battle with Perez.
    Alonso had to make pit stops on laps seven and eight when the DRS stuck open. At the first, Ferrari mechanics banged it shut, but it stuck again as soon as he used it on the next lap and he had to stop again to have it knocked back into place.
    Play media

    Bahrain stupid to host GP – Ecclestone
    In the circumstances, it was an impressive recovery from Alonso, who passed Perez for seventh with six laps to go, but was unable to fend the McLaren off when Perez came back at him three laps later.
    The Mexican prevailed after passing Alonso into Turn Four and then forcing him off the circuit as the Ferrari driver tried to stay with him around the outside of Turn Five.
    Earlier, Perez had angered Button as he hit the back of his team-mate and then banged wheels with him, Button saying on the team radio: “Calm him down, will you?”
    Button dropped back out of contention in the closing laps to fall behind Rosberg, whose high tyre degradation meant he had to make four stops to change tyres.
    Result:
    1. Sebastian Vettel (Ger) Red Bull 1hr 36min 00.498secs
    2. Kimi Raikkonen (Fin) Lotus +00:09.111
    3. Romain Grosjean (Fra) Lotus 00:19.507
    4. Paul Di Resta (GB) Force India 00:21.727
    5. Lewis Hamilton (GB) Mercedes 00:35.230
    6. Sergio Perez (Mex) McLaren 00:35.998
    7. Mark Webber (Aus) Red Bull 00:37.244
    8. Fernando Alonso (Spa) Ferrari 00:37.574
    9. Nico Rosberg (Ger) Mercedes 00:41.126
    10. Jenson Button (GB) McLaren 00:46.631
    11. Pastor Maldonado (Ven) Williams 01:06.450
    12. Nico Hulkenberg (Ger) Sauber 01:12.933
    13. Adrian Sutil (Ger) Force India 01:16.719
    14. Valtteri Bottas (Fin) Williams 01:21.511
    15. Felipe Massa (Brz) Ferrari 01:26.364
    16. Daniel Ricciardo (Aus) Toro Rosso +1 lap
    17. Charles Pic (Fra) Caterham 1 lap
    18. Esteban Gutierrez (Mex) Sauber 1 lap
    19. Jules Bianchi (Fra) Marussia 1 lap
    20. Max Chilton (GB) Marussia 1 lap
    21. Giedo van der Garde (Ned) Caterham 2 laps
    retd Jean-Eric Vergne (Fra) Toro Rosso 41 laps
    BAHRAIN GRAND PRIX, DAY THREE
    Sunday, 21 April: Race highlights: 17:00 BST, BBC One & BBC HD

    Photo: Bahrain GP: Sebastian Vettel dominates to take win for Red Bull   By Andrew Benson Chief F1 writer in Bahrain Comments (10) Red Bull's Sebastian Vettel took his second win in four races this year as he dominated the Bahrain Grand Prix. The world champion headed Lotus drivers Kimi Raikkonen and Romain Grosjean, who denied Paul di Resta a first career podium in the closing laps. The Scot had, like Raikkonen, done one fewer pit stops than the other leading runners but could not hold Grosjean. Lewis Hamilton took fifth for Mercedes as Fernando Alonso rescued eighth after suffering a DRS overtaking aid failure. There were close on-track battles and plenty of overtaking between a number of drivers, including a bad-tempered tussle between McLaren's Jenson Button and Sergio Perez, but Vettel was in a league of his own. “ The car was great. I could push every single lap and look after the tyres ” Sebastian Vettel Red Bull "[It was a] faultless, seamless race from start to finish," said Vettel. "I knew it was crucial to get into the lead and look after the tyres, the pace was phenomenal, the car was great. I could push every single lap and look after the tyres. "I lost out to Fernando at the first corner, but I could get him back. I saved some Kers and could out-accelerate him into Turn Six. Out of Turn four I did the same on Nico, a little bit of Kers and got him into Turn Five." "[It was] incredible the pace we had today, we surely did not expect that." His win extends his lead over Raikkonen in the championship to 10 points, with Hamilton third a further 13 behind and Alonso fourth, 30 behind Vettel. The German held off a challenge from Alonso on the opening lap, losing out through Turns One and Two before re-passing the Ferrari with a brave move around the outside into Turn Five. He then passed pole-winner Nico Rosberg's Mercedes, skilfully around the outside of Turn Five into Turn Six and drove away into a race of his own, making three stops on his way to a third consecutive victory in Bahrain. Behind him, Raikkonen used a two-stop strategy to move up to from eighth on the grid to take second, while Grosjean, making three stops, passed Di Resta for third with six laps to go. Past Bahrain GP winners 2004 Michael Schumacher - Ferrari 2005 Fernando Alonso - Renault 2006 Fernando Alonso - Renault 2007 Felipe Massa - Ferrari 2008 Felipe Massa - Ferrari 2009 Jenson Button - Brawn 2010 Fernando Alonso - Ferrari 2011 Race not held 2012 Sebastian Vettel - Red Bull 2013 Sebastian Vettel - Red Bull "Yesterday wasn't ideal so we'd planned on Friday to try a two-stop and today it worked well," said Raikkonen of Lotus's recovery. "I didn't have a strong first and second laps but after the first stop I was able to come back stronger so we had a good race in the end." Behind them there was a Titanic race-long fight involving Mark Webber, Lewis Hamilton, Perez, Alonso, Nico Rosberg and Button, as their strategies brought various combinations of drivers together on track at various points of the race. In the closing laps, Webber and Hamilton battled hard for fifth place, with Hamilton passing the Red Bull into Turn One at the start of the final lap to take fifth. Webber then lost another place to Perez in the course of the last lap as Alonso took eighth ahead of Rosberg and Button. Alonso - who had been without the use of the DRS since it failed on lap seven - just lost out in a battle with Perez. Alonso had to make pit stops on laps seven and eight when the DRS stuck open. At the first, Ferrari mechanics banged it shut, but it stuck again as soon as he used it on the next lap and he had to stop again to have it knocked back into place. Play media  Bahrain stupid to host GP - Ecclestone In the circumstances, it was an impressive recovery from Alonso, who passed Perez for seventh with six laps to go, but was unable to fend the McLaren off when Perez came back at him three laps later. The Mexican prevailed after passing Alonso into Turn Four and then forcing him off the circuit as the Ferrari driver tried to stay with him around the outside of Turn Five. Earlier, Perez had angered Button as he hit the back of his team-mate and then banged wheels with him, Button saying on the team radio: "Calm him down, will you?" Button dropped back out of contention in the closing laps to fall behind Rosberg, whose high tyre degradation meant he had to make four stops to change tyres. Result: 1. Sebastian Vettel (Ger) Red Bull 1hr 36min 00.498secs 2. Kimi Raikkonen (Fin) Lotus +00:09.111 3. Romain Grosjean (Fra) Lotus 00:19.507 4. Paul Di Resta (GB) Force India 00:21.727 5. Lewis Hamilton (GB) Mercedes 00:35.230 6. Sergio Perez (Mex) McLaren 00:35.998 7. Mark Webber (Aus) Red Bull 00:37.244 8. Fernando Alonso (Spa) Ferrari 00:37.574 9. Nico Rosberg (Ger) Mercedes 00:41.126 10. Jenson Button (GB) McLaren 00:46.631 11. Pastor Maldonado (Ven) Williams 01:06.450 12. Nico Hulkenberg (Ger) Sauber 01:12.933 13. Adrian Sutil (Ger) Force India 01:16.719 14. Valtteri Bottas (Fin) Williams 01:21.511 15. Felipe Massa (Brz) Ferrari 01:26.364 16. Daniel Ricciardo (Aus) Toro Rosso +1 lap 17. Charles Pic (Fra) Caterham 1 lap 18. Esteban Gutierrez (Mex) Sauber 1 lap 19. Jules Bianchi (Fra) Marussia 1 lap 20. Max Chilton (GB) Marussia 1 lap 21. Giedo van der Garde (Ned) Caterham 2 laps retd Jean-Eric Vergne (Fra) Toro Rosso 41 laps BAHRAIN GRAND PRIX, DAY THREE Sunday, 21 April: Race highlights: 17:00 BST, BBC One & BBC HD
     
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